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We provide a new computationally-efficient class of estimators for risk minimization. We show that these estimators are robust for general statistical models: in the classical Huber epsilon-contamination model and in heavy-tailed settings.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-23 Adarsh Prasad , Arun Sai Suggala , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We study the estimation problem for linear time-invariant (LTI) state-space models with Gaussian excitation of an unknown covariance. We provide non asymptotic lower bounds for the expected estimation error and the mean square estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar

This paper studies the threshold estimation of a TAR model when the underlying threshold parameter is a random variable. It is shown that the Bayesian estimator is consistent and its limit distribution is expressed in terms of a limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Ngai Hang Chan , Yury A. Kutoyants

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

Threshold autoregressive moving-average (TARMA) models are popular in time series analysis due to their ability to parsimoniously describe several complex dynamical features. However, neither theory nor estimation methods are currently…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Greta Goracci , Davide Ferrari , Simone Giannerini , Francesco ravazzolo

We propose a likelihood ratio statistic for forming hypothesis tests and confidence intervals for a nonparametrically estimated univariate regression function, based on the shape restriction of concavity (alternatively, convexity). Dealing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Charles R. Doss

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Sokbae Lee , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

This paper examines asymptotic properties of local M-estimators under three sets of high-level conditions. These conditions are sufficiently general to cover the minimum volume predictive region, conditional maximum score estimator for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Myung Hwan Seo , Taisuke Otsu

Standard maximum likelihood estimation cannot be applied to discrete energy-based models in the general case because the computation of exact model probabilities is intractable. Recent research has seen the proposal of several new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Benjamin Marlin , Nando de Freitas

We simultaneously estimate the four parameters of a subcritical Heston process. We do not restrict ourself to the case where the stochastic volatility process never reaches zero. In order to avoid the use of unmanageable stopping times and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

Identifying a biomarker or treatment-dose threshold that marks a specified level of risk is an important problem, especially in clinical trials. This risk, viewed as a function of thresholds and possibly adjusted for covariates, we call the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Lars van der Laan , Wenbo Zhang , Peter B. Gilbert

This paper derives new asymptotic results for the adaptive LASSO estimator in cointegrating regressions, allowing for uncertainty about whether the regressors are exact unit root processes. We study model selection probabilities, estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Karsten Reichold , Ulrike Schneider

This study proposes a robust estimator for stochastic frontier models by integrating the idea of Basu et al. [1998, Biometrika 85, 549-559] into such models. We verify that the suggested estimator is strongly consistent and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-29 Junmo Song , Dong-hyun Oh , Jiwon Kang

The likelihood functions for discretely observed nonlinear continuous-time models based on stochastic differential equations are not available except for a few cases. Various parameter estimation techniques have been proposed, each with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

When a parameter of interest is nondifferentiable in the probability, the existing theory of semiparametric efficient estimation is not applicable, as it does not have an influence function. Song (2014) recently developed a local asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Kyungchul Song

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

This paper examines estimation of skill formation models, a critical component in understanding human capital development and its effects on individual outcomes. Existing estimators are either based on moment conditions and only applicable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-28 Antonia Antweiler , Joachim Freyberger

This paper studies a tensor-structured linear regression model with a scalar response variable and tensor-structured predictors, such that the regression parameters form a tensor of order $d$ (i.e., a $d$-fold multiway array) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Talal Ahmed , Haroon Raja , Waheed U. Bajwa

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo