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Related papers: Calibration Error Estimation Using Fuzzy Binning

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Classifier-guided diffusion models have emerged as a powerful approach for conditional image generation, but they suffer from overconfident predictions during early denoising steps, causing the guidance gradient to vanish. This paper…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Seyed Alireza Javid , Amirhossein Bagheri , Nuria González-Prelcic

Deep neural network (DNN) classifiers are often overconfident, producing miscalibrated class probabilities. In high-risk applications like healthcare, practitioners require $\textit{fully calibrated}$ probability predictions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

Current methods for detecting spurious correlations rely on analyzing dataset statistics or error patterns, leaving many harmful shortcuts invisible when counterexamples are absent. We introduce BEE (Bridging Explainability and Embeddings),…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Cristian Daniel Păduraru , Antonio Bărbălau , Radu Filipescu , Andrei Liviu Nicolicioiu , Elena Burceanu

In this work, we addressed the issue of applying a stochastic classifier and a local, fuzzy confusion matrix under the framework of multi-label classification. We proposed a novel solution to the problem of correcting label pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-08 Pawel Trajdos , Marek Kurzynski

Calibration can reduce overconfident predictions of deep neural networks, but can calibration also accelerate training? In this paper, we show that it can when used to prioritize some examples for performing subset selection. We study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Ganesh Tata , Gautham Krishna Gudur , Gopinath Chennupati , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Fuzzy clustering algorithms can be roughly categorized into two main groups: Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) based methods and mixture model based methods. However, for almost all existing FCM based methods, how to automatically selecting proper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Qiang Chen , Weizhong Yu , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

The fusion of raw sensor data to create a Bird's Eye View (BEV) representation is critical for autonomous vehicle planning and control. Despite the growing interest in using deep learning models for BEV semantic segmentation, anticipating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Linlin Yu , Bowen Yang , Tianhao Wang , Kangshuo Li , Feng Chen

Model uncertainty obtained by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout is prone to miscalibration. The uncertainty does not represent the model error well. In this paper, temperature scaling is extended to dropout variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Karl-Philipp Kortmann , Tobias Ortmaier

This paper introduces the Bayesian Confidence Estimator (BACON) for deep neural networks. Current practice of interpreting Softmax values in the output layer as probabilities of outcomes is prone to extreme predictions of class probability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Patrick D. Kee , Max J. Brown , Jonathan C. Rice , Christian A. Howell

Most of researches on image forensics have been mainly focused on detection of artifacts introduced by a single processing tool. They lead in the development of many specialized algorithms looking for one or more particular footprints under…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-31 Habib Ghaffari Hadigheh , Ghazali bin sulong

The assessment of binary classifier performance traditionally centers on discriminative ability using metrics, such as accuracy. However, these metrics often disregard the model's inherent uncertainty, especially when dealing with sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

Efficiency criteria for conformal prediction, such as \emph{observed fuzziness} (i.e., the sum of p-values associated with false labels), are commonly used to \emph{evaluate} the performance of given conformal predictors. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Nicolo Colombo , Vladimir Vovk

Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable prediction with machine learning systems. Calibration error is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Eugène Berta , Sacha Braun , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Fuzzy modeling has many advantages over the non-fuzzy methods, such as robustness against uncertainties and less sensitivity to the varying dynamics of nonlinear systems. Data-driven fuzzy modeling needs to extract fuzzy rules from the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Erick de la Rosa , Wen Yu

Embedding tables are used by machine learning systems to work with categorical features. In modern Recommendation Systems, these tables can be very large, necessitating the development of new methods for fitting them in memory, even during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Henry Ling-Hei Tsang , Thomas Dybdahl Ahle

Calibration strengthens the trustworthiness of black-box models by producing better accurate confidence estimates on given examples. However, little is known about if model explanations can help confidence calibration. Intuitively, humans…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Dongfang Li , Baotian Hu , Qingcai Chen

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have enabled astounding progress in several vision-based problems. Despite showing high predictive accuracy, recently, several works have revealed that they tend to provide overconfident predictions and thus are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Muhammad Haris Khan , Salman Khan , Fahad Shahbaz Khan

Recent studies have shown that deep neural networks are not well-calibrated and often produce over-confident predictions. The miscalibration issue primarily stems from using cross-entropy in classifications, which aims to align predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Daehwan Kim , Haejun Chung , Ikbeom Jang