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The paper is focused on the forecasting method for time series groups with the use of algorithms for cluster analysis. $K$-means algorithm is suggested to be a basic one for clustering. The coordinates of the centers of clusters have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-17 N. N. Astakhova , L. A. Demidova , E. V. Nikulchev

Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However,…

Forecast reconciliation has attracted significant research interest in recent years, with most studies taking the hierarchy of time series as given. We extend existing work that uses time series clustering to construct hierarchies, with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Bohan Zhang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Han Li

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

Clustering is a powerful tool which has been used in several forecasting works, such as time series forecasting, real time storm detection, flood forecasting and so on. In this paper, a generic methodology for weather forecasting is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Sanjay Chakraborty , N. K. Nagwani , Lopamudra Dey

Time series clustering is an essential machine learning task with applications in many disciplines. While the majority of the methods focus on time series taking values on the real line, very few works consider time series defined on the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-15 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun , Rosa M. Crujeiras

We consider clustering in group decision making where the opinions are given by pairwise comparison matrices. In particular, the k-medoids model is suggested to classify the matrices since it has a linear programming problem formulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Kolos Csaba Ágoston , Sándor Bozóki , László Csató

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

We explore the utility of clustering in reducing error in various prediction tasks. Previous work has hinted at the improvement in prediction accuracy attributed to clustering algorithms if used to pre-process the data. In this work we more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Shubhendu Trivedi , Zachary A. Pardos , Neil T. Heffernan

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

This paper introduces a novel model-based clustering approach for clustering time series which present changes in regime. It consists of a mixture of polynomial regressions governed by hidden Markov chains. The underlying hidden process for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Patrice Aknin , Gérard Govaert

Clustering techniques are very attractive for extracting and identifying patterns in datasets. However, their application to very large spatial datasets presents numerous challenges such as high-dimensionality data, heterogeneity, and high…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Malika Bendechache , Nhien-An Le-Khac , M-Tahar Kechadi

In this paper, we propose a technique for time series clustering using community detection in complex networks. Firstly, we present a method to transform a set of time series into a network using different distance functions, where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-20 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Liang Zhao

Mixture model-based clustering, usually applied to multidimensional data, has become a popular approach in many data analysis problems, both for its good statistical properties and for the simplicity of implementation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Allou Samé , Faicel Chamroukhi , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Supervised classification can be effective for prediction but sometimes weak on interpretability or explainability (XAI). Clustering, on the other hand, tends to isolate categories or profiles that can be meaningful but there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Vincent Lemaire , Oumaima Alaoui Ismaili , Antoine Cornuéjols , Dominique Gay

We propose a simple and efficient clustering method for high-dimensional data with a large number of clusters. Our algorithm achieves high-performance by evaluating distances of datapoints with a subset of the cluster centres. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Georgios Exarchakis , Omar Oubari , Gregor Lenz

Time-series clustering serves as a powerful data mining technique for time-series data in the absence of prior knowledge about clusters. A large amount of time-series data with large size has been acquired and used in various research…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Tomoki Inoue , Koyo Kubota , Tsubasa Ikami , Yasuhiro Egami , Hiroki Nagai , Takahiro Kashikawa , Koichi Kimura , Yu Matsuda

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir
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