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Related papers: Optimal tests following sequential experiments

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Widely used methods and software for group sequential tests of a null hypothesis of no treatment difference that allow for early stopping of a clinical trial depend primarily on the fact that sequentially-computed test statistics have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

Dedicated to the memory of Professor Tze Leung Lai, this paper introduces three multi-hypothesis sequential tests. These tests are derived from one-sided versions of the sequential probability ratio test and its modifications. They are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In group sequential designs, where several data looks are conducted for early stopping, we generally assume the vector of test statistics from the sequential analyses follows (at least approximately or asymptotially) a multivariate normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Long-Hao Xu , Tobias Mütze , Frank Konietschke , Tim Friede

The Bayesian formulation of sequentially testing $M \ge 3$ hypotheses is studied in the context of a decentralized sensor network system. In such a system, local sensors observe raw observations and send quantized sensor messages to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Yan Wang , Yajun Mei

Experimental design has emerged as a powerful approach for improving the sample efficiency of A/B testing, yet existing designs rely critically on correctly specified models. We study robust sequential experimental design under model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Qianglin Wen , Xiangkun Wu , Chengchun Shi , Ting Li , Niansheng Tang , Yingying Zhang , Hongtu Zhu

We study batched bandit experiments and consider the problem of inference conditional on the realized stopping time, assignment probabilities, and target parameter, where all of these may be chosen adaptively using information up to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jiafeng Chen , Isaiah Andrews

This work deals with a general problem of testing multiple hypotheses about the distribution of a discrete-time stochastic process. Both the Bayesian and the conditional settings are considered. The structure of optimal sequential tests is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-23 Andrey Novikov

We study a Bayesian binary sequential hypothesis testing problem with multiple large language models (LLMs). Each LLM $j$ has per-query cost $c_j>0$, random waiting time with mean $\mu_j>0$ and sub-Gaussian tails, and \emph{asymmetric}…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Guokai Li , Alys Liang , Mo Liu , Murray Lei , Stefanus Jasin , Fenghua Yang , Preet Baxi

We consider an experimental design setting in which units are assigned to treatment after being sampled sequentially from an infinite population. We derive asymptotic efficiency bounds that apply to data from any experiment that assigns…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Timothy B. Armstrong

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

Higher criticism is a large-scale testing procedure that can attain the optimal detection boundary for sparse and faint signals. However, there has been a lack of knowledge in most existing works about its asymptotic distribution for more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jingkun Qiu

Recent advances in noiseless non-adaptive group testing have led to a precise asymptotic characterization of the number of tests required for high-probability recovery in the sublinear regime $k = n^{\theta}$ (with $\theta \in (0,1)$), with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Oliver Gebhard , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Olaf Parczyk , Manuel Penschuck , Maurice Rolvien , Jonathan Scarlett , Nelvin Tan

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

We consider the problem of quickly detecting a signal in a sensor network when the subset of sensors in which signal may be present is completely unknown. We formulate this problem as a sequential hypothesis testing problem with a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander Tartakovsky

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

This work analyzes the asymptotic performances of fully distributed sequential hypothesis testing procedures as the type-I and type-II error rates approach zero, in the context of a sensor network without a fusion center. In particular, the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-17 Shang Li , Xiaodong Wang

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We introduce sequential analysis in quantum information processing, by focusing on the fundamental task of quantum hypothesis testing. In particular our goal is to discriminate between two arbitrary quantum states with a prescribed error…

We consider sequential hypothesis testing between two quantum states using adaptive and non-adaptive strategies. In this setting, samples of an unknown state are requested sequentially and a decision to either continue or to accept one of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-07 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Marco Tomamichel

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh