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Researchers frequently estimate treatment effects by regressing outcomes (Y) on treatment (D) and covariates (X). Even without unobserved confounding, the coefficient on D yields a conditional-variance-weighted average of strata-wise…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Tanvi Shinkre , Chad Hazlett

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices-including covariance and precision matrices-is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wan Tian , Hui Yang , Zhouhui Lian , Lingyue Zhang , Yijie Peng

In this work, we consider the problem of imbalanced data in a regression framework when the imbalanced phenomenon concerns continuous or discrete covariates. Such a situation can lead to biases in the estimates. In this case, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Samuel Stocksieker , Denys Pommeret , Arthur Charpentier

Causal learning is the key to obtaining stable predictions and answering \textit{what if} problems in decision-makings. In causal learning, it is central to seek methods to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-07 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu , Xing Yan

The adaptive LASSO has been used for consistent variable selection in place of LASSO in the linear regression model. In this article, we propose a modified LARS algorithm to combine adaptive LASSO with some biased estimators, namely the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Manickavasagar Kayanan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Machine Learning (ML), particularly deep learning, has seen vast advancements, leading to the rise of Machine Learning-Enabled Systems (MLS). However, numerous software engineering challenges persist in propelling these MLS into production,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Shubham Kulkarni , Arya Marda , Karthik Vaidhyanathan

Many machine learning tasks that involve predicting an output response can be solved by training a weighted regression model. Unfortunately, the predictive power of this type of models may severely deteriorate under low sample sizes or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Tam Le , Truyen Nguyen , Makoto Yamada , Jose Blanchet , Viet Anh Nguyen

This paper investigates the predictive performance of model averaging in high-dimensional linear regression where the number of regressors is comparable to the sample size. We demonstrate that the double descent trajectory manifests within…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ke Chen , Dandan Jiang , Xinyu Zhang

The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit in panel data settings. The "synthetic control" is a weighted average of control units that balances the treated unit's…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Jesse Rothstein

This position paper argues that, in debiased machine learning, balancing functions should be derived from the Neyman orthogonal score, not chosen only as functions of covariates. Covariate balancing is effective when the regression error…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Masahiro Kato

High-dimensional datasets are frequently subject to contamination by outliers and heavy-tailed noise, which can severely bias standard regularized estimators like the Lasso. While Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) has recently been introduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xiaoning Kang , Lulu Kang

Model merging aims to combine multiple fine-tuned models into a single set of weights that performs well across all source tasks. While prior work has shown that merging can approximate the performance of individual fine-tuned models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Mohammadsajad Alipour , Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri

The linear coefficient in a partially linear model with confounding variables can be estimated using double machine learning (DML). However, this DML estimator has a two-stage least squares (TSLS) interpretation and may produce overly wide…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

Machine learning predictions are typically interpreted as the sum of contributions of predictors. Yet, each out-of-sample prediction can also be expressed as a linear combination of in-sample values of the predicted variable, with weights…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-18 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Goebel , Karin Klieber

Efficient estimation of causal and structural parameters can be automated using the Riesz representation theorem and debiased machine learning (DML). We present genriesz, an open-source Python package that implements automatic DML and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Masahiro Kato

Data augmentation is an effective technique to improve the generalization of deep neural networks. However, previous data augmentation methods usually treat the augmented samples equally without considering their individual impacts on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Mingyang Yi , Lu Hou , Lifeng Shang , Xin Jiang , Qun Liu , Zhi-Ming Ma

Modern statistical analysis often encounters high-dimensional problems but with a limited sample size. It poses great challenges to traditional statistical estimation methods. In this work, we adopt auxiliary learning to solve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Hanchao Yan , Feifei Wang , Chuanxin Xia , Hansheng Wang

This paper constructs a doubly robust estimator for continuous dose-response estimation. An outcome regression model is augmented with a set of inverse generalized propensity score covariates to correct for potential misspecification bias.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy , David A. Stephens

In Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) it is assumed that there is a linear effect of the predictor variables on the outcome. However, this assumption is often too strict, because in many applications predictors have a nonlinear relation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 S. J. W. Willems , A. J. van der Kooij , J. J. Meulman

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas