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Text and time series data offer complementary views of financial markets: news articles provide narrative context about company events, while stock prices reflect how markets react to those events. However, despite their complementary…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Ross Koval , Nicholas Andrews , Xifeng Yan

Predicting volatility in financial markets, including stocks, index ETFs, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrencies, remains a challenging task due to the inherent complexity and non-linear dynamics of these time series. In this study, I apply…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Alex Li

Text mining methods are used for a wide range of Software Engineering (SE) tasks. The biggest challenge of text mining is high dimensional data, i.e., a corpus of documents can contain $10^4$ to $10^6$ unique words. To address this…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Amritanshu Agrawal , Huy Tu , Tim Menzies

Fund allocation has been an increasingly important problem in the financial domain. In reality, we aim to allocate the funds to buy certain assets within a certain future period. Naive solutions such as prediction-only or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Fuyuan Lyu , Linfeng Du , Yunpeng Weng , Qiufang Ying , Zhiyan Xu , Wen Zou , Haolun Wu , Xiuqiang He , Xing Tang

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

This work evaluates FinGPT, a financial domain-specific language model, across six key natural language processing (NLP) tasks: Sentiment Analysis, Text Classification, Named Entity Recognition, Financial Question Answering, Text…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Prudence Djagba , Chimezie A. Odinakachukwu

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms' disclosure embeddings, but such networks often contain spurious edges because…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan , Kaiqi Hu , Yifan Ye

Financial time-series forecasting has long been a challenging problem because of the inherently noisy and stochastic nature of the market. In the High-Frequency Trading (HFT), forecasting for trading purposes is even a more challenging task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj

Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have attracted significant attention for their exceptional performance across a broad range of tasks, particularly in text analysis. However, the finance sector presents a distinct challenge due to its…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Meiyun Wang , Kiyoshi Izumi , Hiroki Sakaji

Predicting corporate earnings surprises is a profitable yet challenging task, as accurate forecasts can inform significant investment decisions. However, progress in this domain has been constrained by a reliance on expensive, proprietary,…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Dong Shu , Yanguang Liu , Huopu Zhang , Mengnan Du

We employ both random forests and LSTM networks (more precisely CuDNNLSTM) as training methodologies to analyze their effectiveness in forecasting out-of-sample directional movements of constituent stocks of the S&P 500 from January 1993…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Pushpendu Ghosh , Ariel Neufeld , Jajati Keshari Sahoo

Investment Analysis is a cornerstone of the Financial Services industry. The rapid integration of advanced machine learning techniques, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs), offers opportunities to enhance the equity rating process.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Kassiani Papasotiriou , Srijan Sood , Shayleen Reynolds , Tucker Balch

This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches. In recent times, LLMs have surged in popularity for forecasting due to their…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Andrea Carriero , Davide Pettenuzzo , Shubhranshu Shekhar

In this paper we apply a new approach of the string theory to the real financial market. It is direct extension and application of the work [1] into prediction of prices. The models are constructed with an idea of prediction models based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Richard Pincak , Marian Repasan

This paper explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to generate financial reports from time series data. We propose a framework encompassing prompt engineering, model selection, and evaluation. We introduce an automated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Elizabeth Fons , Elena Kochkina , Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Berowne Hlavaty , Charese Smiley , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Manuela Veloso

In this report, I present a deep learning approach to conduct a natural language processing (hereafter NLP) binary classification task for analyzing financial-fraud texts. First, I searched for regulatory announcements and enforcement…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Qiuru Li

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

The stock market provides a rich well of information that can be split across modalities, making it an ideal candidate for multimodal evaluation. Multimodal data plays an increasingly important role in the development of machine learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Benjamin Iyoya Irving , Annika Marie Schoene

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

S&P 500 Index is one of the most sought after stock indices in the world. In particular, Information Technology Sector of S&P 500 is the number one business segment of the S&P 500 in terms of market capital, annual revenue and the number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-23 Jayanta K. Pokharel , Erasmus Tetteh-Bator , Chris P. Tsokos