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Cybersecurity risk analysis plays an essential role in supporting organizations make effective decision about how to manage and control cybersecurity risk. Cybersecurity risk is a function of the interplay between the defender, i.e., the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Jiali Wang , Martin Neil

Causal inference provides an analytical framework to identify and quantify cause-and-effect relationships among a network of interacting agents. This paper offers a novel framework for analyzing cascading failures in power transmission…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Shiuli Subhra Ghosh , Anmol Dwivedi , Ali Tajer , Kyongmin Yeo , Wesley M. Gifford

Damage scenarios for large networks are considered. The cascade scenario is described by means of powers of adjacency matrix. More difficult probabilistic variants of the large network damage are modeling by Markov chains. For reliability…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-10-10 P. A. Golovinski

Recent attacks on power grids demonstrated the vulnerability of the grids to cyber and physical attacks. To analyze this vulnerability, we study cyber-physical attacks that affect both the power grid physical infrastructure and its…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-22 Saleh Soltan , Gil Zussman

Industry reliability rules increasingly require utilities to study and mitigate cascading failure risk in their system. Motivated by this, this paper describes how cascading failure risk, in terms of expected blackout size, varies with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-18 Pooya Rezaei , Paul D. H. Hines

The vulnerability of machine learning models to adversarial attacks remains a critical security challenge. Traditional defenses, such as adversarial training, typically robustify models by minimizing a worst-case loss. However, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Pablo G. Arce , Roi Naveiro , David Ríos Insua

While power systems are reliable infrastructures, their complex interconnectivities allow for propagation of disturbances through cascading failures which causes blackouts. Meanwhile the ever increasing penetration level of renewable…

Applied Physics · Physics 2017-07-03 Mir Hadi Athari , Zhifang Wang

New methods that exploit sparse structures arising in smart grid networks are proposed for the state estimation problem when data injection attacks are present. First, construction strategies for unobservable sparse data injection attacks…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Mete Ozay , Inaki Esnaola , Fatos T. Yarman Vural , Sanjeev R. Kulkarni , H. Vincent Poor

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

We consider the problem of finding optimal classifiers in an adversarial setting where the class-1 data is generated by an attacker whose objective is not known to the defender -- an aspect that is key to realistic applications but has so…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Patrick Loiseau , Benjamin Roussillon

In the electrical grid, the distribution system is themost vulnerable to severe weather events. Well-placed and coordinatedupgrades, such as the combination of microgrids, systemhardening and additional line redundancy, can greatly reduce…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Arthur Barnes , Harsha Nagarajan , Emre Yamangil , Russell Bent , Scott Backhaus

Information spreads across social and technological networks, but often the network structures are hidden from us and we only observe the traces left by the diffusion processes, called cascades. Can we recover the hidden network structures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-14 Hadi Daneshmand , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez , Le Song , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Cascading failures are one of the main reasons for blackouts in electrical power grids. Stable power supply requires a robust design of the power grid topology. Currently, the impact of the grid structure on the grid robustness is mainly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-26 Xiangrong Wang , Yakup Koç , Robert E. Kooij , Piet Van Mieghem

Securing the power system from catastrophic natural disasters is a rising problem in power system operation and planning. This paper particularly considers earthquake and aims to evaluate and improve the resilience of power distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-14 Mahan Fakouri Fard , Mostafa Sahraei-Ardakani , Ge Ou , Mingxi Liu

Cascades represent rapid changes in networks. A cascading phenomenon of ecological and economic impact is the spread of invasive species in geographic landscapes. The most promising management strategy is often biocontrol, which entails…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Johan Bjorck , Yiwei Bai , Xiaojian Wu , Yexiang Xue , Mark C. Whitmore , Carla Gomes

We study the evolution of fast blackout cascades in the model of the Polish (transmission) power grid (2700 nodes and 3504 transmission lines). The cascade is initiated by a sufficiently severe initial contingency tripping. It propagates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-10-07 René Pfitzner , Konstantin Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

In this paper, we study the interdependency between the power grid and the communication network used to control the grid. A communication node depends on the power grid in order to receive power for operation, and a power node depends on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Marzieh Parandehgheibi , Eytan Modiano , David Hay

In complex networks, the failure of one or very few nodes may cause cascading failures. When this dynamical process stops in steady state, the size of the giant component formed by remaining un-failed nodes can be used to measure the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Junbiao Liu , Xinyu Jin , Lurong Jiang , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Fang Dong , Yicong Lang , Wenping Zhang

The power grid is a critical infrastructure essential for public safety and welfare. As its reliance on digital technologies grows, so do its vulnerabilities to sophisticated cyber threats, which could severely disrupt operations. Effective…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Omer Sen , Bozhidar Ivanov , Christian Kloos , Christoph Zol_ , Philipp Lutat , Martin Henze , Andreas Ulbig

Bayesian optimization provides an effective method to optimize expensive-to-evaluate black box functions. It has been widely applied to problems in many fields, including notably in computer science, e.g. in machine learning to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mike Diessner , Joseph O'Connor , Andrew Wynn , Sylvain Laizet , Yu Guan , Kevin Wilson , Richard D. Whalley
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