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The neutrino floor is a theoretical lower limit on WIMP-like dark matter models that are discoverable in direct detection experiments. It is commonly interpreted as the point at which dark matter signals become hidden underneath a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-12-20 Ciaran A. J. O'Hare

We establish the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) in settings where some of the nuisance parameters are unidentifiable under the null hypothesis, parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the parameter space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Ola Hössjer , Matteo Bottai , J. M. Patrik Albin

The detection of coherent neutrino-nucleus scattering by the COHERENT collaboration has set on quantitative grounds the existence of an irreducible neutrino background in direct detection searches of Weakly Interacting Massive Dark Matter…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-07-06 M. C. Gonzalez-Garcia , Michele Maltoni , Yuber F. Perez-Gonzalez , Renata Zukanovich Funchal

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

In neutrino oscillation experiments, exclusive measurements of neutrino-nucleus interactions play a critical role, by providing the theoretical and experimental input needed for a reliable estimation of the neutrino energy. In this paper,…

We study scatter-like interactions between neutrinos and dark matter in light of different combinations of temperature, polarization and lensing data released by three independent CMB experiments - the Planck satellite, the Atacama…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-15 William Giarè , Adrià Gómez-Valent , Eleonora Di Valentino , Carsten van de Bruck

The neutrino floor, a theoretical sensitivity limit for dark matter (DM) direct detections, is being redefined as the boundary of a dynamic ``neutrino fog", where neutrino signals become inevitable, obscuring DM detection due to the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-08-20 Yingjie Fan , Xuewen Liu , Ning Zhou

Multi-dimensional parameter spaces are commonly encountered in physics theories that go beyond the Standard Model. However, they often possess complicated posterior geometries that are expensive to traverse using techniques traditional to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Dorian W. P. Amaral , Shixiao Liang , Juehang Qin , Christopher Tunnell

The neutrino floor is a barrier in the parameter space of weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs) below which discovery is impeded due to an almost irreducible background of neutrinos. Directional gas time projection chambers could…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-28 Ciaran A. J. O'Hare

In this work we analyse the ultimate sensitivity of dark matter direct detection experiments, the "neutrino-floor", in the presence of anomalous sources of dark radiation in form of SM or semi-sterile neutrinos. This flux-component is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-09-01 Marco Nikolic , Suchita Kulkarni , Josef Pradler

As dark matter (DM) direct detection experiments continue to improve their sensitivity they will inevitably encounter an irreducible background arising from coherent neutrino scattering. This so-called "neutrino floor" may significantly…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-03-01 Graciela B. Gelmini , Volodymyr Takhistov , Samuel J. Witte

Dark matter direct detection experiments are going to touch the neutrino floor with a good chance to measure coherent elastic neutrino-nucleus scattering (CE$\nu$NS) and a probe of neutrino-related new physics ($\nu$NP). In this study, we…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-11-26 Jian Tang , Bing-Long Zhang

We present and implement two algorithms for analytic asymptotic evaluation of the marginal likelihood of data given a Bayesian network with hidden nodes. As shown by previous work, this evaluation is particularly hard for latent Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Dmitry Rusakov , Dan Geiger

A general method is presented for deriving the limiting behavior of estimators that are defined as the values of parameters optimizing an empirical criterion function. The asymptotic behavior of such estimators is typically deduced from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Radchenko

The search for weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs) by direct detection faces an encroaching background due to coherent neutrino-nucleus scattering. As the sensitivity of these experiments improves, the question of how to best…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-21 Ciaran A. J. O'Hare , Anne M. Green , Julien Billard , Enectali Figueroa-Feliciano , Louis E. Strigari

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

Ionization or excitation resulting from the noninstantaneous response of the electron cloud to nuclear recoil is known as the Migdal effect. Dark matter searches utilizing this process set the most stringent bounds on the spin-independent…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-06-23 Tarak Nath Maity

We examine whether future, nearly all-sky galaxy redshift surveys, in combination with CMB priors, will be able to detect the signature of the cosmic neutrino background and determine the absolute neutrino mass scale. We also consider what…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 Carmelita Carbone , Licia Verde , Yun Wang , Andrea Cimatti

This paper introduces a quasi-likelihood ratio testing procedure for diffusion processes observed under nonsynchronous sampling schemes. High-frequency data, particularly in financial econometrics, are often recorded at irregular time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Teppei Ogihara , Futo Ueno

In this paper we present a model independent analysis method following Bayesian statistics to analyse data from a generic counting experiment and apply it to the search for neutrinos from point sources. We discuss a test statistic defined…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Bose , L. Brayeur , M. Casier , K. D. de Vries , G. Golup , N. van Eijndhoven
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