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Boosting has garnered significant interest across both machine learning and statistical communities. Traditional boosting algorithms, designed for fully observed random samples, often struggle with real-world problems, particularly with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

We explore whether survival model performance in underrepresented high- and low-risk subgroups - regions of the prognostic spectrum where clinical decisions are most consequential - can be improved through targeted restructuring of the…

We develop a post-selection inference method for the Cox proportional hazards model with interval-censored data, which provides asymptotically valid p-values and confidence intervals conditional on the model selected by lasso. The method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Jianrui Zhang , Chenxi Li , Haolei Weng

Accurately assessing a patient's risk of a given event is essential in making informed treatment decisions. One approach is to stratify patients into two or more distinct risk groups with respect to a specific outcome using both clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Karen Lostritto , Robert Strawderman , Annette Molinaro

This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting corporate distress, a problem marked by three key statistical hurdles: (i) right censoring, (ii) high-dimensional predictors, and (iii) mixed-frequency data. To overcome these complexities,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-09 Wei Miao , Jad Beyhum , Jonas Striaukas , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Scoring rules are an established way of comparing predictive performances across model classes. In the context of survival analysis, they require adaptation in order to accommodate censoring. This work investigates using scoring rules for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Philipp Kopper , David Rügamer , Raphael Sonabend , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender

Risk stratification is a key tool in clinical decision-making, yet current approaches often fail to translate sophisticated survival analysis into actionable clinical criteria. We present a novel method for unsupervised machine learning…

The restricted mean survival time is a clinically easy-to-interpret measure that does not require any assumption of proportional hazards. We focus on two ways to directly model the survival time and adjust the covariates. One is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 Keisuke Hanada , Junji Moriya , Masahiro Kojima

In this work, we discuss what we refer to as reduction techniques for survival analysis, that is, techniques that "reduce" a survival task to a more common regression or classification task, without ignoring the specifics of survival data.…

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Sorting and ranking supervision is a method for training neural networks end-to-end based on ordering constraints. That is, the ground truth order of sets of samples is known, while their absolute values remain unsupervised. For that, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Felix Petersen , Christian Borgelt , Hilde Kuehne , Oliver Deussen

As machine learning models become increasingly integrated into healthcare, structural inequities and social biases embedded in clinical data can be perpetuated or even amplified by data-driven models. In survival analysis, censoring and…

Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Yilin Ning , Han Yuan , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu , Bibhas Chakraborty

Contrastive learning methods enforce label distance relationships in feature space to improve representation capability for regression models. However, these methods highly depend on label information to correctly recover ordinal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Ce Wang , Weihang Dai , Hanru Bai , Xiaomeng Li

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

We investigate the performance of model based bootstrap methods for constructing point-wise confidence intervals around the survival function with interval censored data. We show that bootstrapping from the nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Bodhisattva Sen , Gongjun Xu

In medical and biological research, longitudinal data and survival data types are commonly seen. Traditional statistical models mostly consider to deal with either of the data types, such as linear mixed models for longitudinal data, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-12 Jizi Shangguan

Disentangled representations have recently been shown to improve fairness, data efficiency and generalisation in simple supervised and reinforcement learning tasks. To extend the benefits of disentangled representations to more complex…

Survival analysis encompasses a broad range of methods for analyzing time-to-event data, with one key objective being the comparison of survival curves across groups. Traditional approaches for identifying clusters of survival curves often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Nora M. Villanueva , Marta Sestelo , Luis Meira-Machado

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley