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Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Minjing Tao , Yazhen Wang , Harrison H. Zhou

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to fit a functional linear regression in which both the response and the predictor are functions of a common variable such as time. We consider the case that the response and the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Behdad Mostafaiy , MohammadReza FaridRohani , Shojaeddin Chenouri

We consider the problem of estimation of a linear functional in the Gaussian sequence model where the unknown vector theta in R^d belongs to a class of s-sparse vectors with unknown s. We suggest an adaptive estimator achieving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Olivier Collier , Laëtitia Comminges , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Nicolas Verzélen

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

The stochastic solution with Gaussian stationary increments is establihsed for the symmetric space-time fractional diffusion equation when $0 < \beta < \alpha \le 2$, where $0 < \beta \le 1$ and $0 < \alpha \le 2$ are the fractional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-18 Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

In this paper we construct optimal, in certain sense, estimates of values of linear functionals on solutions to two-point boundary value problems (BVPs) for systems of linear first-order ordinary differential equations from observations…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-12-16 Olexandr Nakonechnyi , Yury Podlipenko , Yury Shestopalov

In high-dimensional linear regression, the goal pursued here is to estimate an unknown regression function using linear combinations of a suitable set of covariates. One of the key assumptions for the success of any statistical procedure in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre Tsybakov

Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 David A. Hirshberg , Stefan Wager

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We determine the variance-optimal hedge when the logarithm of the underlying price follows a process with stationary independent increments in discrete or continuous time. Although the general solution to this problem is known as backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Jan Kallsen , Leszek Krawczyk

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

This note addresses the question of optimally estimating a linear functional of an object acquired through linear observations corrupted by random noise, where optimality pertains to a worst-case setting tied to a symmetric, convex, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Simon Foucart , Grigoris Paouris

We study the non-parametric estimation of the value ${\theta}(f )$ of a linear functional evaluated at an unknown density function f with support on $R_+$ based on an i.i.d. sample with multiplicative measurement errors. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Sergio Brenner Miguel , Fabienne Comte , Jan Johannes

In this paper, we present an optimal filter for linear time-varying continuous-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense. We first show that the unknown inputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

This paper addresses the problem of estimating multiplicative fault signals in linear time-invariant systems by processing its input and output variables, as well as designing an input signal to maximize the accuracy of such estimates. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tamas Keviczky

We study the problem of parameter estimation for reflected stochastic processes driven by a standard Brownian motion. The estimator is obtained using nonlinear least squares method based on discretely observed processes. Under some certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

Consider the communication-constrained problem of nonparametric function estimation, in which each distributed terminal holds multiple i.i.d. samples. Under certain regularity assumptions, we characterize the minimax optimal rates for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Deheng Yuan , Tao Guo , Zhongyi Huang

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the fractional derivative of unknown spectral function of Gaussian stationary sequence (time series) and show that these problems is well posed with the classical speed of convergence when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota