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Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Correlated time series are time series that, by virtue of the underlying process to which they refer, are expected to influence each other strongly. We introduce a novel approach to handle such time series, one that models their interaction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Luis O. Rigo , Valmir C. Barbosa

A temporal complex network-based approach is proposed as a novel formulation to investigate turbulent mixing from a Lagrangian viewpoint. By exploiting a spatial proximity criterion, the dynamics of a set of fluid particles is geometrized…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-27 Giovanni Iacobello , Stefania Scarsoglio , J. G. M. Kuerten , Luca Ridolfi

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Correlation matrices contain a wide variety of spatio-temporal information about a dynamical system. Predicting correlation matrices from partial time series information of a few nodes characterizes the spatio-temporal dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Nikhil Easaw , Woo Seok Lee , Prashant Singh Lohiya , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Many real-world complex systems are characterized by interactions in groups that change in time. Current temporal network approaches, however, are unable to describe group dynamics, as they are based on pairwise interactions only. Here, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-17 Luca Gallo , Lucas Lacasa , Vito Latora , Federico Battiston

In turbulent flows, energy production is associated with highly organized structures, known as coherent structures. Since these structures are three-dimensional, their detection remains challenging in the most common situation, when…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-12 Subharthi Chowdhuri , Tirtha Banerjee

Nonlinear and delayed effects of covariates often render time series forecasting challenging. To this end, we propose a novel forecasting framework based on ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Nina Drobac , Margaux Brégère , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Time series anomaly detection plays a crucial role in a wide range of real-world applications. Given that time series data can exhibit different patterns at different sampling granularities, multi-scale modeling has proven beneficial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Beibu Li , Qichao Shentu , Yang Shu , Hui Zhang , Ming Li , Ning Jin , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Dynamic networks reflect temporal changes occurring to the graph's structure and are used to model a wide variety of problems in many application fields. We investigate the design space of dynamic graph visualization along two major…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Velitchko Filipov , Alessio Arleo , Markus Bögl , Silvia Miksch

Temporal networks model how the interaction between elements in a complex system evolve over time. Just like complex systems display collective dynamics, here we interpret temporal networks as trajectories performing a collective motion in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Lucas Lacasa , Jorge P. Rodriguez , Victor M. Eguiluz

Complex networks are an important paradigm of modern complex systems sciences which allows quantitatively assessing the structural properties of systems composed of different interacting entities. During the last years, intensive efforts…

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

The estimation of the correlation between time series is often hampered by the asynchronicity of the signals. Cumulating data within a time window suppresses this source of noise but weakens the statistics. We present a method to estimate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-18 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 D. R. Kulkarni , A. S. Pandya , J. C. Parikh

Calculating the correlation in a sliding window is a common method of statistical evaluation of the interconnect between two sets of data. And although the calculation of a single correlation coefficient is not resource-intensive and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Alexey Poyda , Mikhail Zhizhin

Modern power systems with high penetration of inverter-based resources exhibit complex dynamic behaviors that challenge the scalability and generalizability of traditional stability assessment methods. This paper presents a dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-18 Guang An Ooi , Otavio Bertozzi , Mohd Asim Aftab , Charalambos Konstantinou , Shehab Ahmed

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren
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