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Life assurance companies typically possess a wealth of data covering multiple systems and databases. These data are often used for analyzing the past and for describing the present. Taking account of the past, the future is mostly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Andreas Groll , Carsten Wasserfuhr , Leonid Zeldin

This paper addresses the problem of estimating causal effects when adjustment variables in the back-door or front-door criterion are partially observed. For such scenarios, we derive bounds on the causal effects by solving two non-linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Detecting and understanding reasons for defects and inadvertent behavior in software is challenging due to their increasing complexity. In configurable software systems, the combinatorics that arises from the multitude of features a user…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Clemens Dubslaff , Kallistos Weis , Christel Baier , Sven Apel

A common sales strategy involves having account executives (AEs) actively reach out and contact potential customers. However, not all contact attempts have a positive effect: some attempts do not change customer decisions, while others…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Naama Parush , Ohad Levinkron-Fisch , Hanan Shteingart , Amir Bar Sela , Amir Zilberman , Jake Klein

In this work, we consider causal inference in various high-dimensional treatment settings, including for single multi-valued treatments and vector treatments with binary or continuous components, when the number of treatments can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Patrick Kramer , Edward H. Kennedy , Isaac M. Opper

Real-world datasets are often of high dimension and effected by the curse of dimensionality. This hinders their comprehensibility and interpretability. To reduce the complexity feature selection aims to identify features that are crucial to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Maximilian Stubbemann , Tobias Hille , Tom Hanika

Emergence and causality are two fundamental concepts for understanding complex systems. They are interconnected. On one hand, emergence refers to the phenomenon where macroscopic properties cannot be solely attributed to the cause of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Bing Yuan , Zhang Jiang , Aobo Lyu , Jiayun Wu , Zhipeng Wang , Mingzhe Yang , Kaiwei Liu , Muyun Mou , Peng Cui

Online social networks have increasing influence on our society, they may play decisive roles in politics and can be crucial for the fate of companies. Such services compete with each other and some may even break down rapidly. Using social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-20 János Török , János Kertész

Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts is important to the implementation of bank policies and offering financial products. This paper uses cluster analysis of behaviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-13 Maha Bakoben , Tony Bellotti , Niall Adams

Background: Symbolic models, particularly decision trees, are widely used in software engineering for explainable analytics in defect prediction, configuration tuning, and software quality assessment. Most of these models rely on…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Amirali Rayegan , Tim Menzies

Causal inference is widely used in various fields, such as biology, psychology and economics, etc. In observational studies, we need to balance the covariates before estimating causal effect. This study extends the one-dimensional entropy…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Juan Chen , Yingchun Zhou

A particular phenomenon of interest in Retail Economics is the spillover effect of anchor stores (specific stores with a reputable brand) to non-anchor stores in terms of customer traffic. Prior works in this area rely on small and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Anish K. Vallapuram , Young D. Kwon , Lik-Hang Lee , Fengli Xu , Pan Hui

In observational studies, the causal effect of a treatment may be confounded with variables that are related to both the treatment and the outcome of interest. In order to identify a causal effect, such studies often rely on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Emma Persson , Jenny Häggström , Ingeborg Waernbaum , Xavier de Luna

With the advancement of data science, the collection of increasingly complex datasets has become commonplace. In such datasets, the data dimension can be extremely high, and the underlying data generation process can be unknown and highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Yaxin Fang , Faming Liang

Recent years have seen rapid progress at the intersection between causality and machine learning. Motivated by scientific applications involving high-dimensional data, in particular in biomedicine, we propose a deep neural architecture for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Bernd Taschler , Sach Mukherjee

Confounding seriously impairs our ability to learn about causal relations from observational data. Confounding can be defined as a statistical association between two variables due to inputs from a common source (the confounder). For…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-17 Anders Ledberg

Digital travel platforms often operate multiple marketing journeys simultaneously, resulting in overlapping user exposures that bias the standard A/B lift estimation. Because traditional lift experiments assume treatment isolation, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Jorge Pellegrini

Recent advances in machine learning have shown promising results for financial prediction using large, over-parameterized models. This paper provides theoretical foundations and empirical validation for understanding when and how these…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Hasan Fallahgoul

The "free trial" followed by automatic renewal is a dominant business model in the digital economy. Standard models explain trials as a mechanism for consumers to learn their valuation for a product. We propose a complementary theory based…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-18 F. Nguyen

Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann