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This work presents a detailed linguistic analysis into why larger Transformer-based pre-trained language models with more parameters and lower perplexity nonetheless yield surprisal estimates that are less predictive of human reading times.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Byung-Doh Oh , William Schuler

Recent studies have shown that as Transformer-based language models become larger and are trained on very large amounts of data, the fit of their surprisal estimates to naturalistic human reading times degrades. The current work presents a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Byung-Doh Oh , Shisen Yue , William Schuler

There has been considerable interest in using surprisal from Transformer-based language models (LMs) as predictors of human sentence processing difficulty. Recent work has observed an inverse scaling relationship between Transformers'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yi-Chien Lin , William Schuler

In psycholinguistic modeling, surprisal from larger pre-trained language models has been shown to be a poorer predictor of naturalistic human reading times. However, it has been speculated that this may be due to data leakage that caused…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Byung-Doh Oh , Hongao Zhu , William Schuler

Human memory is fleeting. As words are processed, the exact wordforms that make up incoming sentences are rapidly lost. Cognitive scientists have long believed that this limitation of memory may, paradoxically, help in learning language -…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Abishek Thamma , Micha Heilbron

Transformers underlie almost all state-of-the-art language models in computational linguistics, yet their cognitive adequacy as models of human sentence processing remains disputed. In this work, we use a surprisal-based linking mechanism…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Titus von der Malsburg , Sebastian Padó

A wide body of evidence shows that human language processing difficulty is predicted by the information-theoretic measure surprisal, a word's negative log probability in context. However, it is still unclear how to best estimate these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Tong Liu , Iza Škrjanec , Vera Demberg

Current language models are considered to have sub-human capabilities at natural language tasks like question-answering or writing code. However, language models are not trained to perform well at these tasks, they are trained to accurately…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Buck Shlegeris , Fabien Roger , Lawrence Chan , Euan McLean

Human reading behavior is tuned to the statistics of natural language: the time it takes human subjects to read a word can be predicted from estimates of the word's probability in context. However, it remains an open question what…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox , Jon Gauthier , Jennifer Hu , Peng Qian , Roger Levy

Probing has shown that language model representations encode rich linguistic information, but it remains unclear whether they also capture cognitive signals about human processing. In this work, we probe language model representations for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eleftheria Tsipidi , Samuel Kiegeland , Francesco Ignazio Re , Tianyang Xu , Mario Giulianelli , Karolina Stanczak , Ryan Cotterell

By positing a relationship between naturalistic reading times and information-theoretic surprisal, surprisal theory (Hale, 2001; Levy, 2008) provides a natural interface between language models and psycholinguistic models. This paper…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Yiding Hao , Simon Mendelsohn , Rachel Sterneck , Randi Martinez , Robert Frank

Recent psycholinguistic research has compared human reading times to surprisal estimates from language models to study the factors shaping human sentence processing difficulty. Previous studies have shown a strong fit between surprisal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Christian Clark , Byung-Doh Oh , William Schuler

Recent work has found that contemporary language models such as transformers can become so good at next-word prediction that the probabilities they calculate become worse for predicting reading time. In this paper, we propose that this can…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-11 James A. Michaelov , Roger P. Levy

When we read, we make predictions about upcoming words; these predictions influence our reading behavior. The success of large language models (LLMs), which, like humans, make predictions about upcoming words, has motivated their use as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Byung-Doh Oh , Tal Linzen

We analyze if large language models are able to predict patterns of human reading behavior. We compare the performance of language-specific and multilingual pretrained transformer models to predict reading time measures reflecting natural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Nora Hollenstein , Federico Pirovano , Ce Zhang , Lena Jäger , Lisa Beinborn

Language models (LMs) are pretrained to imitate internet text, including content that would violate human preferences if generated by an LM: falsehoods, offensive comments, personally identifiable information, low-quality or buggy code, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Tomasz Korbak , Kejian Shi , Angelica Chen , Rasika Bhalerao , Christopher L. Buckley , Jason Phang , Samuel R. Bowman , Ethan Perez

A fundamental result in psycholinguistics is that less predictable words take a longer time to process. One theoretical explanation for this finding is Surprisal Theory (Hale, 2001; Levy, 2008), which quantifies a word's predictability as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox , Tiago Pimentel , Clara Meister , Ryan Cotterell , Roger P. Levy

Language models that are trained on the next-word prediction task have been shown to accurately model human behavior in word prediction and reading speed. In contrast with these findings, we present a scenario in which the performance of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Aditya R. Vaidya , Javier Turek , Alexander G. Huth

Surprisal theory posits that the processing difficulty of a word is determined by its predictability in context, offering a potential link between human sentence processing and next-word predictions from language models. While language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 William Timkey , Brian Dillon , Tal Linzen

To date, most investigations on surprisal and entropy effects in reading have been conducted on the group level, disregarding individual differences. In this work, we revisit the predictive power of surprisal and entropy measures estimated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Patrick Haller , Lena S. Bolliger , Lena A. Jäger
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