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Motivated by observations in sequence data of herpesviruses, we introduce a multi-locus model for the joint evolution of different genotypes in a virus population that is distributed across a population of hosts. In the model, virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Raphael Eichhorn , Cornelia Pokalyuk

We use the indirect evolutionary approach to study evolutionarily stable preferences against multiple mutations in single- and multi-population matching settings, respectively. Players choose strategies to maximize their subjective…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Yu-Sung Tu , Wei-Torng Juang

We introduce a minimal multiscale framework that links within-host virus dynamics to population-level SIRS epidemiology through explicit, bidirectional coupling. At the microscopic layer, a two variant quasispecies (master and mutant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Juan C. Muñoz-Sánchez , J. Tomás Lázaro , Josep Sardanyés , Santiago F. Elena

During the recent pandemic, a rise in COVID-19 cases was followed by a decline in influenza. In the absence of cross-immunity, a potential explanation for the observed pattern is behavioral: non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) designed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Leah LeJeune , Omar Saucedo , Lauren M. Childs , Navid Ghaffarzadegan

The aim of this paper is two-fold. First, we propose a new computational method to investigate the particularities of evolution. Second, we apply this method to a model of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) and explore the evolution of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-21 Tadamune Kaneko , Macoto Kikuchi

One strategy for winning a coevolutionary struggle is to evolve rapidly. Most of the literature on host-pathogen coevolution focuses on this phenomenon, and looks for consequent evidence of coevolutionary arms races. An alternative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-14 Erick Chastain , Rustom Antia , Carl T. Bergstrom

Biological functions are generated as a result of developmental dynamics that form phenotypes governed by genotypes. The dynamical system for development is shaped through genetic evolution following natural selection based on the fitness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Kunihiko Kaneko

On rugged fitness landscapes where sign epistasis is common, adaptation can often involve either individually beneficial "uphill" mutations or more complex mutational trajectories involving fitness valleys or plateaus. The dynamics of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-06 Ian E. Ochs , Michael M. Desai

Mechanisms of immunity, and of the host-pathogen interactions in general are among the most fundamental problems of medicine, ecology, and evolution studies. Here, we present a microscopic, protein-level, sequence-based model of immune…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-22 Muyoung Heo , Konstantin B. Zeldovich , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

Evolution on neutral networks of genotypes has been found in models to concentrate on genotypes with high mutational robustness, to a degree determined by the topology of the network. Here analysis is generalized beyond neutral networks to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-01 Lee Altenberg

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, environmental and population-level mechanisms determine the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-07 Alberto Aleta , Andreia N. S. Hisi , Sandro Meloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno

One important feature of the mammalian immune system is the highly specific binding of antigens to antibodies. Antibodies generated in response to one infection may also provide some level of cross immunity to other infections. One model to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-01 James Moore , Hasan Ahmed

Disgust is a basic emotion that serves to avoid contaminants, and is central to the behavioural immune system. While disgust-motivated avoidance occurs in bonobos and chimpanzees, humans show uniquely high levels of contamination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Edwin S. Dalmaijer , Thomas Armstrong

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

We consider the interplay of vaccination and migration rates on disease persistence in epidemiological systems. We show that short-term and long-term migration can inhibit disease persistence. As a result, we show how migration changes how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-05-22 Jackson Burton , Lora Billings , Derek A. T. Cummings , Ira B. Schwartz

Which factors govern the evolution of mutation rates and emergence of species? Here, we address this question using a first principles model of life where population dynamics of asexual organisms is coupled to molecular properties and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Muyoung Heo , Louis Kang , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

At the end of 2020, policy responses to the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak have been shaken by the emergence of virus variants, impacting public health and policy measures worldwide. The emergence of these strains suspected to be more contagious, more…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Aymeric Vie

The emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is a major concern given their potential impact on the transmissibility and pathogenicity of the virus as well as the efficacy of therapeutic interventions. Here, we predict the mutability of all…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Juan Rodriguez-Rivas , Giancarlo Croce , Maureen Muscat , Martin Weigt

Seasonal influenza kills hundreds of thousands every year, with multiple constantly-changing strains in circulation at any given time. A high mutation rate enables the influenza virus to evade recognition by the human immune system,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-28 Blake J. M. Williams , C. Brandon Ogbunugafor , Benjamin M. Althouse , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Epidemic spreading over populations networks has been an important subject of research for several decades, and especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Most epidemic outbreaks are likely to create multiple mutations during their spreading…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-30 Aviel Ivry , Reuven Cohen , Amikam Patron