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We characterize the complete joint posterior distribution over spatially-varying basal traction and and ice softness parameters of an ice sheet model from observations of surface speed by using stochastic variational inference combined with…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-04-13 Douglas J. Brinkerhoff

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are essential for modeling complex, locally heterogeneous spatial data. A common modeling approach is the spatial deformation method that warps the domain to recover isotropy. However, this static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Minghao Gu , Weizhi Lin , Qiang Huang

Global variational approximation methods in graphical models allow efficient approximate inference of complex posterior distributions by using a simpler model. The choice of the approximating model determines a tradeoff between the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman

We derive mean-field information Hessian matrices on finite graphs. The "information" refers to entropy functions on the probability simplex. And the "mean-field" means nonlinear weight functions of probabilities supported on graphs. These…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Wuchen Li , Linyuan Lu

Statistical inference for spatial processes from partially realized or scattered data has seen voluminous developments in diverse areas ranging from environmental sciences to business and economics. Inference on the associated rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Didong Li , Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

We study the problem of fitting parametrized curves to noisy data. Under certain assumptions (known as Cartesian and radial functional models), we derive asymptotic expressions for the bias and the covariance matrix of the parameter…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2007-05-23 N. Chernov , C. Lesort

In this document, we aim to gather various results related to a compositional/categorical approach to rigorous Statistical Mechanics. Rigorous Statistical Mechanics is centered on the mathematical study of statistical systems. Central…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Grégoire Sergeant-Perthuis

This paper studies optimization on networks modeled as metric graphs. Motivated by applications where the objective function is expensive to evaluate or only available as a black box, we develop Bayesian optimization algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Wenwen Li , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

We present an algorithm to identify sparse dependence structure in continuous and non-Gaussian probability distributions, given a corresponding set of data. The conditional independence structure of an arbitrary distribution can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Rebecca E. Morrison , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

We introduce a new class of inter-domain variational Gaussian processes (GP) where data is mapped onto the unit hypersphere in order to use spherical harmonic representations. Our inference scheme is comparable to variational Fourier…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Vincent Dutordoir , Nicolas Durrande , James Hensman

Motivated by the prediction of cell loads in cellular networks, we formulate the following new, fundamental problem of statistical learning of geometric marks of point processes: An unknown marking function, depending on the geometry of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Antoine Brochard , Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Stéphane Mallat , Sixin Zhang

We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We consider inference for misaligned multivariate functional data that represents the same underlying curve, but where the functional samples have systematic differences in shape. In this paper we introduce a new class of generally…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-23 Niels Lundtorp Olsen , Bo Markussen , Lars Lau Rakêt

Gaussian graphical models can capture complex dependency structures among variables. For such models, Bayesian inference is attractive as it provides principled ways to incorporate prior information and to quantify uncertainty through the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-05 Willem van den Boom , Alexandros Beskos , Maria De Iorio

The essentials of fractional calculus according to different approaches that can be useful for our applications in the theory of probability and stochastic processes are established. In addition to this, from this fractional integral one…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-07-31 Nicy Sebastian
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