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This guide offers suggestions/insights on uncertainty quantification of nuclear structure models. We discuss a simple approach to statistical error estimates, strategies to assess systematic errors, and show how to uncover…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2014-05-26 J. Dobaczewski , W. Nazarewicz , P. -G. Reinhard

Surrogate data testing is a method frequently applied to evaluate the results of nonlinear time series analysis. Since the null hypothesis tested against is a linear, gaussian, stationary stochastic process a positive outcome may not only…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer

In recent years, there has been an increasing need for Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) to improve flexibility in order to match the rapid growth of renewable energies. The Operator Assistance Predictive System (OAPS) developed by Framatome…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Perceval Beja-Battais , Alain Grossetête , Nicolas Vayatis

Recent efforts to improve the predictability of TALYS-2.0 calculated charged-particle residual product cross sections have focused on adjusting parameters related to the optical model potential and pre-equilibrium process. Although adjusted…

The primary aim of experimental nuclear astrophysics is to determine the rates of nuclear reactions taking place in stars in various astrophysical conditions. These reaction rates are important ingredient for understanding the elemental…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2019-03-27 Gy. Gyürky , Zs. Fülöp , F. Käppeler , G. G. Kiss , A. Wallner

This is an overview over the prediction of astrophysical reaction rates in the statistical model, with special emphasis on the parametrization of optical alpha+nucleus potentials.

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Rauscher

Future neutrino-oscillation experiments are expected to bring definite answers to the questions of neutrino-mass hierarchy and violation of charge-parity symmetry in the lepton sector. To realize this ambitious program it is necessary to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-05-15 Artur M Ankowski , Camillo Mariani

Current tests for nonlinearity compare a time series to the null hypothesis of a Gaussian linear stochastic process. For this restricted null assumption, random surrogates can be constructed which are constrained by the linear properties of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

The use of effective field theory offers a systematic way to improve calculations of nuclear reactions and the properties of atomic nuclei. Its successes have led to the widespread belief that the predictions of this approach are model…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-10-17 Anthony W. Thomas

I describe in very simple terms the theoretical tools needed to investigate ultra-peripheral nuclear reactions for nuclear astrophysics purposes. For a more detailed account, see arXiv:0908.4307.

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-05-14 C. A. Bertulani

Evaluating treatment effects is critical in clinical trials but sometimes involves lengthy, invasive, or costly follow-up procedures. In these cases, surrogate markers, which provide intermediate measures of the long-term treatment effect,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sarah C. Lotspeich , P. D. Anh. Nguyen , Layla Parast

The reactions of relevance for stellar evolution are difficult to measure directly in the laboratory at the small astrophysical energies. In recent years indirect reaction methods have been developed and applied to extract low-energy…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-15 C. A. Bertulani

We present a phenomenological study of nuclear effects in neutrino charged-current interactions, using transverse kinematic imbalances in exclusive measurements. Novel observables with minimal dependence on neutrino energy are proposed to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-08-24 X. -G. Lu , L. Pickering , S. Dolan , G. Barr , D. Coplowe , Y. Uchida , D. Wark , M. O. Wascko , A. Weber , T. Yuan

Data-driven surrogate modeling has emerged as a promising approach for reducing computational expenses of multiscale simulations. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is a common choice for modeling of path-dependent behavior. However, previous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Yangzi He , Shabnam J. Semnani

We demonstrate to extract $^{88}\mathrm{Y}(n,\gamma)$ cross sections using the $(p,p'\gamma)$ surrogate reaction with proper treatment of the spin-parity distribution of the compound nucleus $^{89}\mathrm{Y}$. Experimental data of both…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-11-17 Shu-Tong Zhang , Wen Luo , Dan-Yang Pang , Zhi-Cai Li , Jing Feng , Bing JIang , Xin-Xiang Li , Yi Xu , Bao-Hua Sun

The rapid-neutron capture process ($r$ process) is identified as the producer of about 50\% of elements heavier than iron. This process requires an astrophysical environment with an extremely high neutron flux over a short amount of time…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2019-06-26 A. C. Larsen , A. Spyrou , S. N. Liddick , M. Guttormsen

The method of surrogate data provides a framework for testing observed data against a hierarchy of alternative hypotheses. The aim of applying this method is to exclude the possibility that the data are consistent with simple linear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Jie Zhang , Junfeng Sun , Michael Small , Irene Moroz

Highly accurate datasets from numerical or physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming to acquire, posing a significant challenge for applications that require precise evaluations, potentially across multiple scenarios and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Attilio Frangi , Andrea Manzoni

Earlier work has demonstrated that cross sections for neutron-induced fission and radiative neutron capture can be determined from a combination of surrogate reaction data and theory. For the fission case, it was shown that Weisskopf-Ewing…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-05-01 Oliver C. Gorton , Jutta E. Escher