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Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

Cyber-physical systems (CPS), in most instances, represent systems of systems with an informationally decentralized structure such as emerging mobility systems, networked control systems, sustainable manufacturing, smart power grids, power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Andreas Malikopoulos

Greater direct electrification of end-use sectors with a higher share of renewables is one of the pillars to power a carbon-neutral society by 2050. However, in contrast to conventional power plants, renewable energy is subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jonathan Dumas , Antoine Wehenkel Damien Lanaspeze , Bertrand Cornélusse , Antonio Sutera

Accurate weather forecasting is essential for socioeconomic activities. While data-driven forecasting demonstrates superior predictive capabilities over traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) with reduced computational demands, its…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-12 Congyi Nai , Xi Chen , Shangshang Yang , Yuan Liang , Ziniu Xiao , Baoxiang Pan

Data-driven deep learning models are transforming global weather forecasting. It is an open question if this success can extend to climate modeling, where the complexity of the data and long inference rollouts pose significant challenges.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Salva Rühling Cachay , Brian Henn , Oliver Watt-Meyer , Christopher S. Bretherton , Rose Yu

This paper develops a feature-driven model for hybrid power plants, enabling them to exploit available contextual information such as historical forecasts of wind power, and make optimal wind power and hydrogen trading decisions in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-01 Emil Helgren , Jalal Kazempour , Lesia Mitridati

Data-driven emulators are increasingly being used to learn and emulate physics-based simulations, reducing computational expense and run time. Here, we present a structured way to improve the quality of these high-dimensional emulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Nawid Keshtmand , Elena Fillola , Jeffrey Nicholas Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Matthew Rigby

Estimating state of health is a critical function of a battery management system but remains challenging due to the variability of operating conditions and usage requirements of real applications. As a result, techniques based on fitting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-17 Antti Aitio , Dominik Jöst , Dirk Uwe Sauer , David A. Howey

Data centers play an increasingly critical role in societal digitalization, yet their rapidly growing energy demand poses significant challenges for sustainable operation. To enhance the energy efficiency of geographically distributed data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Junhong Liu , Lanxin Du , Yujia Li , Rong-Peng Liu , Yunfeng Li , Fei Teng , Francis Yunhe Hou

For the application of MPC design in on-line regulation or tracking control problems, several studies have attempted to develop an accurate model, and realize adequate uncertainty description of linear or non-linear plants of the processes.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi , Zhongxue Gan

Integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) into software systems has significantly enhanced their capabilities while escalating energy demands. Ensemble learning, combining predictions from multiple models to form a single prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Nienke Nijkamp , June Sallou , Niels van der Heijden , Luís Cruz

Nuclear power plant operators face significant challenges due to unpredictable deviations between offline and online thermal limits, a phenomenon known as thermal limit bias, which leads to conservative design margins, increased fuel costs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Anirudh Tunga , Michael J. Mueterthies , Jonathan Nistor

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

Investigation of energy systems integrated with green chemical conversion, and in particular combi-nation of green hydrogen and synthetic methanation, is still a scarce subject in the literature in terms of optimal design and operation for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Su Tatar , Handan Akulker , Hasan Sildir , Erdal Aydin

This paper addresses the critical challenge of improving predictions of climate extreme events, specifically heat waves, using machine learning methods. Our work is framed as a classification problem in which we try to predict whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Julien Collard , Pierre Gentine , Tian Zheng

Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu

Understanding seasonal climatic conditions is critical for better management of resources such as water, energy and agriculture. Recently, there has been a great interest in utilizing the power of artificial intelligence methods in climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alper Unal , Busra Asan , Ismail Sezen , Bugra Yesilkaynak , Yusuf Aydin , Mehmet Ilicak , Gozde Unal
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