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Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Deep learning provides powerful methods to impute structured information from large-scale, unstructured text and image datasets. For example, economists might wish to detect the presence of economic activity in satellite images, or to…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-14 Melissa Dell

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

In modern capital market the price of a stock is often considered to be highly volatile and unpredictable because of various social, financial, political and other dynamic factors. With calculated and thoughtful investment, stock market can…

Quantitative trading strategies rely on accurately ranking stocks to identify profitable investments. Effective portfolio management requires models that can reliably order future stock returns. Transformer models are promising for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Jan Kwiatkowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Financial market like the price of stock, share, gold, oil, mutual funds are affected by the news and posts on social media. In this work deep learning based models are proposed to predict the trend of financial market based on NLP analysis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Arijit Das , Tanmoy Nandi , Prasanta Saha , Suman Das , Saronyo Mukherjee , Sudip Kumar Naskar , Diganta Saha

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Computational intelligence in finance has been a very popular topic for both academia and financial industry in the last few decades. Numerous studies have been published resulting in various models. Meanwhile, within the Machine Learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-17 Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Omer Berat Sezer

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

This systematic review examines how machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have transformed forecasting, decision-making, and financial modelling, promoting innovation and efficiency in financial systems. Following PRISMA 2020…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Soufiane El Amine El Alami , Abderazzak Mouiha , Abdelatif Hafid , Ahmed El Hilali Alaoui

Whether or not stocks are predictable has been a topic of concern for decades.The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that it is difficult for investors to make extra profits by predicting stock prices, but this may not be true,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Yueshan Chen , Xingyu Xu , Tian Lan , Sihai Zhang

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive signals for trading. However, traditional lead-lag detection…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zihao Zhang , Xiang Li , Jian Guo , Chao Zhang , Xiaowen Chu

Firm disclosures about future prospects are crucial for corporate valuation and compliance with global regulations, such as the EU's MAR and the US's SEC Rule 10b-5 and RegFD. To comply with disclosure obligations, issuers must identify…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Moritz Scherrmann , Ralf Elsas

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

Forex trading is the largest market in terms of qutantitative trading. Traditionally, traders refer to technical analysis based on the historical data to make decisions and trade. With the development of artificial intelligent, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Yunze Li , Yanan Xie , Chen Yu , Fangxing Yu , Bo Jiang , Matloob Khushi