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Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Chris Kolb , Nadja Klein

Graph Neural Network (GNN) is an emerging technique for graph-based learning tasks such as node classification. In this work, we reveal the vulnerability of GNN to the imbalance of node labels. Traditional solutions for imbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Xiaohe Li , Lijie Wen , Yawen Deng , Fuli Feng , Xuming Hu , Lei Wang , Zide Fan

We introduce twin neural network (TNN) regression. This method predicts differences between the target values of two different data points rather than the targets themselves. The solution of a traditional regression problem is then obtained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Sebastian J. Wetzel , Kevin Ryczko , Roger G. Melko , Isaac Tamblyn

Distributed learning is an effective way to analyze big data. In distributed regression, a typical approach is to divide the big data into multiple blocks, apply a base regression algorithm on each of them, and then simply average the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Zhengchu Guo , Lei Shi , Qiang Wu

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

Machine learning models that are overfitted/overtrained are more vulnerable to knowledge leakage, which poses a risk to privacy. Suppose we download or receive a model from a third-party collaborator without knowing its training accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Hossein Rezaei , Mohammad Sabokrou

Many automated machine learning methods, such as those for hyperparameter and neural architecture optimization, are computationally expensive because they involve training many different model configurations. In this work, we present a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Martin Wistuba , Tejaswini Pedapati

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are a new and increasingly popular family of deep neural network architectures to perform learning on graphs. Training them efficiently is challenging due to the irregular nature of graph data. The problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Marco Serafini , Hui Guan

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

In most applications of utilizing neural networks for mathematical optimization, a dedicated model is trained for each specific optimization objective. However, in many scenarios, several distinct yet correlated objectives or tasks often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

Class-imbalanced data, in which some classes contain far more samples than others, is ubiquitous in real-world applications. Standard techniques for handling class-imbalance usually work by training on a re-weighted loss or on re-balanced…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Arpit Bansal , Micah Goldblum , Valeriia Cherepanova , Avi Schwarzschild , C. Bayan Bruss , Tom Goldstein

Recent advances in machine learning have shown promising results for financial prediction using large, over-parameterized models. This paper provides theoretical foundations and empirical validation for understanding when and how these…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Hasan Fallahgoul

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Network structure is growing popular for capturing the intrinsic relationship between large-scale variables. In the paper we propose to improve the estimation accuracy for large-dimensional factor model when a network structure between…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang , Ji Zhu

Finding the hedge ratios for a portfolio and risk compression is the same mathematical problem. Traditionally, regression is used for this purpose. However, regression has its own limitations. For example, in a regression model, we can't…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Ali Shirazi , Fereshteh Sadeghi Naieni Fard

While machine learning methods have significantly improved model performance over traditional methods, their black-box structure makes it difficult for researchers to interpret results. For highly regulated financial industries, model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye

In networks of independent entities that face similar predictive tasks, transfer machine learning enables to re-use and improve neural nets using distributed data sets without the exposure of raw data. As the number of data sets in business…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Robin Hirt , Akash Srivastava , Carlos Berg , Niklas Kühl

Neural networks have seen an explosion of usage and research in the past decade, particularly within the domains of computer vision and natural language processing. However, only recently have advancements in neural networks yielded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Jacob Renn , Ian Sotnek , Benjamin Harvey , Brian Caffo