Related papers: Structured Multifractal Scaling of the Principal C…
The curves of scaling behavior is a significant concept in fractal dimension analysis of complex systems. However, the underlying rationale of this kind of curves for fractal cities is not yet clear. The aim of this paper is at researching…
We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent,…
We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…
We develop a new VAR model for structural analysis with mixed-frequency data. The MIDAS-SVAR model allows to identify structural dynamic links exploiting the information contained in variables sampled at different frequencies. It also…
Complex networks have attracted much attention in diverse areas of science and technology. Multifractal analysis (MFA) is a useful way to systematically describe the spatial heterogeneity of both theoretical and experimental fractal…
Multifractal scaling (MFS) refers to structures that can be described as a collection of interwoven fractal subsets which exhibit power-law spatial scaling behavior with a range of scaling exponents (concentration, or singularity,…
We assess the applicability of rough volatility models to Bitcoin realized volatility using the normalised p-variation framework of Cont and Das (2024). Applying this model-free estimator to high-frequency Bitcoin data from 2017 to 2024…
This paper introduces the Fractal-Chaotic Oscillation Co-driven (FCOC) framework, a novel paradigm for financial volatility forecasting that systematically resolves the dual challenges of feature fidelity and model responsiveness. FCOC…
We discuss the origin of multiscaling in financial time-series and investigate how to best quantify it. Our methodology consists in separating the different sources of measured multifractality by analysing the multi/uni-scaling behaviour of…
We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…
Forex trading is the largest market in terms of qutantitative trading. Traditionally, traders refer to technical analysis based on the historical data to make decisions and trade. With the development of artificial intelligent, deep…
The paper investigates the rich class of Generalized Tempered Stable distribution, an alternative to Normal distribution and the $\alpha$-Stable distribution for modelling asset return and many physical and economic systems. Firstly, we…
Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…
De-Rating or Vulnerability Factors are a major feature of failure analysis efforts mandated by today's Functional Safety requirements. Determining the Functional De-Rating of sequential logic cells typically requires computationally…
Correlations in multifractal series have been investigated, extensively. Almost all approaches try to find scaling features of a given time series. However, the analysis of such scaling properties has some difficulties such as finding a…
Numerous estimators have been proposed for factor analysis, and their statistical properties have been extensively studied. In the early 2000s, a novel matrix factorization-based approach, known as Matrix Decomposition Factor Analysis…
Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) is a statistical method for identifying and confirming the presence of latent factors among observed variables through the analysis of their covariance structure. Compared to alternative factor models, CFA…
In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…
In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…
Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…