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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent a gold standard when developing policy guidelines. However, RCTs are often narrow, and lack data on broader populations of interest. Causal effects in these populations are often estimated using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Michael Oberst , Ming-Chieh Shih , David Sontag

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Shaun R Seaman , Ruth H Keogh

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the accepted standard for treatment effect estimation but they can be infeasible due to ethical reasons and prohibitive costs. Single-arm trials, where all patients belong to the treatment group, can…

The Cox proportional hazards model is often used to analyze data from Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) with time-to-event outcomes. Random survival forest (RSF) is a machine-learning algorithm known for its high predictive performance. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Ricarda Graf , Susan Todd , M. Fazil Baksh

Predicting patient survival probabilities based on observed covariates is an important assessment in clinical practice. These patient-specific covariates are often measured over multiple follow-up appointments. It is then of interest to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Annabel L. Davies , Anthony C. C. Coolen , Tobias Galla

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) tailors treatments to a patient's specific characteristics. However, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect the treatment effect heterogeneity needed for reliable ITR…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Yuan Bian , Donglin Zeng , Hyun-Joon Yang , Leanne M. Williams , Yuanjia Wang

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Longitudinal and high-dimensional measurements have become increasingly common in biomedical research. However, methods to predict survival outcomes using covariates that are both longitudinal and high-dimensional are currently missing. In…

Matching is one of the simplest approaches for estimating causal effects from observational data. Matching techniques compare the observed outcomes across pairs of individuals with similar covariate values but different treatment statuses…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Abhishek Dalvi , Neil Ashtekar , Vasant Honavar

Identifying causal relationships for a treatment intervention is a fundamental problem in health sciences. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for identifying causal relationships. However, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Riddhiman Adib , Paul Griffin , Sheikh Iqbal Ahamed , Mohammad Adibuzzaman

Ranked set sampling (RSS) is a cost-efficient study design that uses inexpensive baseline ranking to select a more informative subset of individuals for full measurement. While RSS is well known to improve precision over simple random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nabil Awan , Richard J. Chappell

In this paper, we introduce a doubly doubly robust estimator for the average and heterogeneous treatment effect for left-truncated-right-censored (LTRC) survival data. In causal inference for survival functions in LTRC survival data, two…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-04 Guanghui Pan

Nonparametric and semiparametric methods are commonly used in survival analysis to mitigate the bias due to model misspecification. However, such methods often cannot estimate upper-tail survival quantiles when a sizable proportion of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Yifan Wang , Tian You , Martin Lysy

Statistical power is often a concern for clustered RCTs due to variance inflation from design effects and the high cost of adding study clusters (such as hospitals, schools, or communities). While covariate pre-specification is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-07 Peter Z. Schochet

This article introduces a robust hypothesis testing procedure: the Lq-likelihood-ratio-type test (LqRT). By deriving the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic, the authors demonstrate its robustness both analytically and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Yichen Qin , Carey E. Priebe

When modelling competing risks survival data, several techniques have been proposed in both the statistical and machine learning literature. State-of-the-art methods have extended classical approaches with more flexible assumptions that can…

Hazard ratios are often used to evaluate time to event outcomes, but they may be hard to interpret. A particular issue arise because hazards are typically estimated conditional on survival, i.e.\ on left truncated samples. Then, hazard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Mats Julius Stensrud

The treatment effects of the same therapy observed from multiple clinical trials can often be very different. Yet the patient characteristics accounting for these differences may not be identifiable in real world practice. There needs to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Tinghui Yu , Yabing Mai , Sherry Liu , Xiaofei Hu

Background: It has long been advised to account for baseline covariates in the analysis of confirmatory randomised trials, with the main statistical justifications being that this increases power and, when a randomisation scheme balanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Tim P. Morris , A. Sarah Walker , Elizabeth J. Williamson , Ian R. White

IMPORTANCE: Time-to-event outcomes are commonly used in clinical trials and biomarker discovery studies and have been primarily analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. But it's unclear which statistical models should be recommended…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Rong Lu