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Weighted histograms in Monte Carlo simulations are often used for the estimation of probability density functions. They are obtained as a result of random experiments with random events that have weights. In this paper, the bin contents of…
Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…
Computing reachability probabilities is at the heart of probabilistic model checking. All model checkers compute these probabilities in an iterative fashion using value iteration. This technique approximates a fixed point from below by…
We present new large-scale algorithms for fitting a subgradient regularized multivariate convex regression function to $n$ samples in $d$ dimensions -- a key problem in shape constrained nonparametric regression with applications in…
Although language model scores are often treated as probabilities, their reliability as probability estimators has mainly been studied through calibration, overlooking other aspects. In particular, it is unclear whether language models…
We propose a new definition of the chi-square divergence between distributions. Based on convexity properties and duality, this version of the {\chi}^2 is well suited both for the classical applications of the {\chi}^2 for the analysis of…
In this paper, we derive closed-form estimators for the parameters of certain exponential family distributions through the maximum a posteriori (MAP) equations. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to assess the performance of the proposed…
Testing procedures for assessing a parametric regression model with circular response and $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued covariate are proposed and analyzed in this work both for independent and for spatially correlated data. The test statistics are…
Estimating a depth map from multiple views of a scene is a fundamental task in computer vision. As soon as more than two viewpoints are available, one faces the very basic question how to measure similarity across >2 image patches.…
Spaces with locally varying scale of measurement, like multidimensional structures with differently scaled dimensions, are pretty common in statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, it is still understood as an open question how to…
Feature screening is useful and popular to detect informative predictors for ultrahigh-dimensional data before developing proceeding statistical analysis or constructing statistical models. While a large body of feature screening procedures…
This paper explores generalised probabilistic modelling and uncertainty estimation in comparative LLM-as-a-judge frameworks. We show that existing Product-of-Experts methods are specific cases of a broader framework, enabling diverse…
Modern statistics provides an ever-expanding toolkit for estimating unknown parameters. Consequently, applied statisticians frequently face a difficult decision: retain a parameter estimate from a familiar method or replace it with an…
Results on matrix canonical forms are used to give a complete description of the higher rank numerical range of matrices arising from the study of quantum error correction. It is shown that the set can be obtained as the intersection of…
We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…
Structured prediction provides a general framework to deal with supervised problems where the outputs have semantically rich structure. While classical approaches consider finite, albeit potentially huge, output spaces, in this paper we…
The dual problem of testing the predictive significance of a particular covariate, and identification of the set of relevant covariates is common in applied research and methodological investigations. To study this problem in the context of…
It is well known that the approximate distribution of the usual test statistic of a goodness-of-fit test is chi-square, with degrees of freedom equal to the number of categories minus 1 (assuming that no parameters are to be estimated --…
In this paper we determine the value of the best constants in the 2-uniform PL-convexity estimates of $\mathbb C$. This solves a problem posed by W. J. Davis, D. J. H. Garling and N. Tomczak-Jaegermann.
Permutation tests are amongst the most commonly used statistical tools in modern genomic research, a process by which p-values are attached to a test statistic by randomly permuting the sample or gene labels. Yet permutation p-values…