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We study the question of how to aggregate controllers for dynamical systems in order to improve their performance. To this end, we propose a framework of boosting for online control. Our main result is an efficient boosting algorithm that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Naman Agarwal , Nataly Brukhim , Elad Hazan , Zhou Lu

Neuronal ensemble activity, including coordinated and oscillatory patterns, exhibits hallmarks of nonequilibrium systems with time-asymmetric trajectories to maintain their organization. However, assessing time asymmetry from neuronal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-12 Ken Ishihara , Hideaki Shimazaki

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

Regime shifts are quite common in complex systems like cell regulations, disease transmissions, ecosystems, marine ice instability, etc. Several statistical indicators known as early warning signals (EWS) have been theorized to anticipate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Shankha Narayan Chattopadhyay , Arvind Kumar Gupta

This paper investigates two issues on identification of switched linear systems: persistence of excitation and numerical algorithms. The main contribution is a much weaker condition on the regressor to be persistently exciting that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-07 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Changming Cheng , Er-Wei Bai

We study the problem of observational causal inference with continuous treatments in the framework of inverse propensity-score weighting. To obtain stable weights, we design a new algorithm based on entropy balancing that learns weights to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , David E. Heckerman

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

We present a general and flexible framework for detecting regime changes in complex, non-stationary data across multi-trial experiments. Traditional change point detection methods focus on identifying abrupt changes within a single time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass B. El-Yaagoubi , Jean-Marc Freyermuth , Hernando Ombao

Snapshot back-ended reduced basis methods for dynamical systems commonly rely on the singular value decomposition of a matrix whose columns are high-fidelity solution vectors. An alternative basis generation framework is developed here. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Fotios Kasolis , Markus Clemens

Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

The challenge in controlling stochastic systems in which low-probability events can set the system on catastrophic trajectories is to develop a robust ability to respond to such events without significantly compromising the optimality of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Dalit Engelhardt

Boosting has emerged as a useful machine learning technique over the past three decades, attracting increased attention. Most advancements in this area, however, have primarily focused on numerical implementation procedures, often lacking…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

Sequential experimental design to discover interventions that achieve a desired outcome is a key problem in various domains including science, engineering and public policy. When the space of possible interventions is large, making an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jiaqi Zhang , Louis Cammarata , Chandler Squires , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Caroline Uhler

Understanding the structural complexity and predictability of complex networks is a central challenge in network science. Although recent studies have revealed a relationship between compression-based entropy and link prediction…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sebastián Brzovic , Cristóbal Rojas , Andrés Abeliuk

We analyze phase transitions in the conditional entropy of a sequence caused by a change in the conditional variables. Such transitions happen, for example, when training to learn the parameters of a system, since the transition from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Kang Gao , Bertrand Hochwald

Interacting systems of events may exhibit cascading behavior where events tend to be temporally clustered. While the cascades themselves may be obvious from the data, it is important to understand which states of the system trigger them.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Alessandro Bregoli , Karin Rathsman , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella , Søren Wengel Mogensen

Robust physics discovery is of great interest for many scientific and engineering fields. Inspired by the principle that a representative model is the one simplest possible, a new model selection criteria considering both model's Parsimony…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Zhiming Zhang , Yongming Liu

The maximum entropy principle from statistical mechanics states that a closed system attains an equilibrium distribution that maximizes its entropy. We first show that for graphs with fixed number of edges one can define a stochastic edge…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Jesse S. A. Bridgewater , P. Oscar Boykin , Vwani P. Roychowdhury
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