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This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can improve cross-sectional momentum strategies by extracting predictive signals from firm-specific news. We combine daily U.S. equity returns for S&P 500 constituents with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-31 Nikolas Anic , Andrea Barbon , Ralf Seiz , Carlo Zarattini

We examine how large language models (LLMs) interpret historical stock returns and compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks. While stock returns exhibit short-term reversals, LLM forecasts…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-19 Shuaiyu Chen , T. Clifton Green , Huseyin Gulen , Dexin Zhou

This paper introduces BreakGPT, a novel large language model (LLM) architecture adapted specifically for time series forecasting and the prediction of sharp upward movements in asset prices. By leveraging both the capabilities of LLMs and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Aleksandr Simonyan

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success recently, displaying exceptional capabilities in creating understandable and organized text. These LLMs have been utilized in diverse fields, such as clinical research, where…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-17 Shuoling Liu , Gaoguo Jia , Yuhang Jiang , Liyuan Chen , Qiang Yang

Recently, large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have demonstrated remarkable performance across a variety of natural language processing tasks. However, their effectiveness in the financial domain, specifically in predicting stock…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Qianqian Xie , Weiguang Han , Yanzhao Lai , Min Peng , Jimin Huang

We investigate the efficacy of large language models (LLMs) in sentiment analysis of U.S. financial news and their potential in predicting stock market returns. We analyze a dataset comprising 965,375 news articles that span from January 1,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate reliable stock market predictions. We evaluate four state-of-the-art models - ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Perplexity - across three prompting strategies: a naive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-21 Ricardo Crisostomo , Diana Mykhalyuk

We investigate whether large language models (LLMs) can successfully perform financial statement analysis in a way similar to a professional human analyst. We provide standardized and anonymous financial statements to GPT4 and instruct the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Alex Kim , Maximilian Muhn , Valeri Nikolaev

The remarkable achievements and rapid advancements of Large Language Models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT and GPT-4 have showcased their immense potential in quantitative investment. Traders can effectively leverage these LLMs to analyze financial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Yujie Ding , Shuai Jia , Tianyi Ma , Bingcheng Mao , Xiuze Zhou , Liuliu Li , Dongming Han

With the increasing impacts of climate change, there is a growing demand for accessible tools that can provide reliable future climate information to support planning, finance, and other decision-making applications. Large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Yang Wang , Hassan A. Karimi

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance on a wide range of Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks, often matching or even beating state-of-the-art task-specific models. This study aims at assessing the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Ethan Callanan , Amarachi Mbakwe , Antony Papadimitriou , Yulong Pei , Mathieu Sibue , Xiaodan Zhu , Zhiqiang Ma , Xiaomo Liu , Sameena Shah

Frozen large language model (LLM) checkpoints extract information from pre-cutoff public text that is associated with future fundamentals and equity returns beyond standard contemporaneous valuation measures. Because each frozen checkpoint…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Sebastian Lehner , Alejandro Lopez-Lira

This paper presents a comprehensive survey of ChatGPT-related (GPT-3.5 and GPT-4) research, state-of-the-art large language models (LLM) from the GPT series, and their prospective applications across diverse domains. Indeed, key innovations…

This paper investigates the potential improvement of the GPT-4 Language Learning Model (LLM) in comparison to BERT for modeling same-day daily stock price movements of Apple and Tesla in 2017, based on sentiment analysis of microblogging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-01 Rick Steinert , Saskia Altmann

Large language models (LLMs), including ChatGPT, can extract profitable trading signals from the sentiment in news text. However, backtesting such strategies poses a challenge because LLMs are trained on many years of data, and backtesting…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Paul Glasserman , Caden Lin

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in quantitative finance for stock price forecasting. This review synthesizes recent applications of LLMs in this domain, including extracting sentiment from financial news and social…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Olivia Zhang , Zhilin Zhang

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

In recent years, Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have seen considerable advancements and have been applied in diverse fields. Built on the Transformer architecture, these models are trained on extensive datasets, enabling them to…

We study whether ChatGPT and DeepSeek can extract information from the Wall Street Journal to predict the stock market and the macroeconomy. We find that ChatGPT has predictive power. DeepSeek underperforms ChatGPT, which is trained more…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-17 Jian Chen , Guohao Tang , Guofu Zhou , Wu Zhu
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