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We study the problem of worst case regret in piecewise stationary multi armed bandits. While the minimax theory for stationary bandits is well established, understanding analogous limits in time-varying settings is challenging. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Gal Mendelson , Eyal Tadmor

We extend recent work (Brehmer, et. al., 2018) that use neural networks as surrogate models for likelihood-free inference. As in the previous work, we exploit the fact that the joint likelihood ratio and joint score, conditioned on both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Markus Stoye , Johann Brehmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez , Kyle Cranmer

In recent years, differentiable penalized likelihood methods have gained popularity, optimizing the causal structure by maximizing its likelihood with respect to the data. However, recent research has shown that errors in likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Mateusz Sypniewski , Mateusz Olko , Mateusz Gajewski , Piotr Miłoś

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

Computational efficient evaluation of penalized estimators of multivariate exponential family distributions is sought. These distributions encompass among others Markov random fields with variates of mixed type (e.g. binary and continuous)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Diederik S. Laman Trip , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Location estimation is a central problem in functional data analysis. In this paper, we investigate penalized spline estimators of location for discretely sampled functional data under a broad class of convex loss functions. Our framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Ioannis Kalogridis

The Binary Emax model is widely employed in dose-response analysis during drug development, where missing data often pose significant challenges. Addressing nonignorable missing binary responses, where the likelihood of missing data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Jiangshan Zhang , Vivek Pradhan , Yuxi Zhao

We propose and study properties of maximum likelihood estimators in the class of conditional transformation models. Based on a suitable explicit parameterisation of the unconditional or conditional transformation function, we establish a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Torsten Hothorn , Lisa Möst , Peter Bühlmann

Maximum likelihood estimation is a popular method in statistical inference. As a way of assessing the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), the calculation of the covariance matrix of the MLE is of great interest in practice.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Xumeng Cao

We consider model selection in generalized linear models (GLM) for high-dimensional data and propose a wide class of model selection criteria based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

We develop a maximum penalized quasi-likelihood estimator for estimating in a nonparametric way the diffusion function of a diffusion process, as an alternative to more traditional kernel-based estimators. After developing a numerical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-12 Jeff Hamrick , Yifei Huang , Constantinos Kardaras , Murad Taqqu

For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

A new approach for functional data description is proposed in this paper. It consists of a regression model with a discrete hidden logistic process which is adapted for modeling curves with abrupt or smooth regime changes. The model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

We develop a novel and general framework for reduced-bias $M$-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Ioannis Kosmidis , Nicola Lunardon

Ranking problems based on pairwise comparisons, such as those arising in online gaming, often involve a large pool of items to order. In these situations, the gap in performance between any two items can be significant, and the smallest and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Heejong Bong , Alessandro Rinaldo

For latent class models where the class weights depend on individual covariates, we derive a simple expression for computing the score vector and a convenient hybrid between the observed and the expected information matrices which is always…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-13 Antonio Forcina

We propose a new and computationally efficient algorithm for maximizing the observed log-likelihood for a multivariate normal data matrix with missing values. We show that our procedure based on iteratively regressing the missing on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicolas Städler , Daniel J. Stekhoven , Peter Bühlmann

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Benjamin Kompa , David R. Bellamy , Thomas Kolokotrones , James M. Robins , Andrew L. Beam
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