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Many models of epidemic spread have a common qualitative structure. The numbers of infected individuals during the initial stages of an epidemic can be well approximated by a branching process, after which the proportion of individuals that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 A. D. Barbour , Gesine Reinert

In this article, we present a novel inference framework for estimating the parameters of Continuous-State Branching Processes (CSBPs). We do so by leveraging their subordinator representation. Our method reformulates the estimation problem…

We give an account of matter and (basically) a solution of a new class of problems synthesizing percolation theory and branching diffusion processes. They led us to realizing a novel type of stochastic processes, namely branching processes…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-12-08 A. Mezhlumian , S. A. Molchanov

We develop a novel approach for the construction of quantile processes governing the stochastic dynamics of quantiles in continuous time. Two classes of quantile diffusions are identified: the first, which we largely focus on, features a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

We consider a critical continuous-time branching process (a Yule process) in which the individuals independently execute symmetric $\alpha-$stable random motions on the real line starting at their birth points. Because the branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

The notion of stability can be generalised to point processes by defining the scaling operation in a randomised way: scaling a configuration by $t$ corresponds to letting such a configuration evolve according to a Markov branching particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Giacomo Zanella , Sergei Zuyev

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

Microscopic processes on surfaces such as adsorption, desorption, diffusion and reaction of interacting particles can be simulated using kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) algorithms. Even though kMC methods are accurate, they are computationally…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-24 Yannis Pantazis , Markos Katsoulakis

Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

We introduce an inferential framework for a wide class of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recent work has shown that numerical splitting schemes can preserve critical properties of such types of SDEs, give rise to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shu Huang , Richard G. Everitt , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Adam M. Johansen

Diffusion models for continuous state spaces based on Gaussian noising processes are now relatively well understood from both practical and theoretical perspectives. In contrast, results for diffusion models on discrete state spaces remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Gael Raoul

Motivated by networked systems in random environment and controlled hybrid stochastic dynamic systems, this work focuses on modeling and analysis of a class of switching diffusions consisting of continuous and discrete components. Novel…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

Diffusion-based models have shown the merits of generating high-quality visual data while preserving better diversity in recent studies. However, such observation is only justified with curated data distribution, where the data samples are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Yiming Qin , Huangjie Zheng , Jiangchao Yao , Mingyuan Zhou , Ya Zhang

We establish a process level large deviation principle for systems of interacting Bessel-like diffusion processes. By establishing weak uniqueness for the limiting non-local SDE of McKean-Vlasov type, we conclude that the latter describes…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

In this paper, we study quasi-stationarity for a large class of Kolmogorov diffusions. The main novelty here is that we allow the drift to go to $- \infty$ at the origin, and the diffusion to have an entrance boundary at $+\infty$. These…

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

We consider Feller mean-reverting square-root diffusion, which has been applied to model a wide variety of processes with linearly state-dependent diffusion, such as stochastic volatility and interest rates in finance, and neuronal and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-29 Celia Anteneodo , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos