English
Related papers

Related papers: Why Topological Data Analysis Detects Financial Bu…

200 papers

We exploit a recent computational framework to model and detect financial crises in stock markets, as well as shock events in cryptocurrency markets, which are characterized by a sudden or severe drop in prices. Our method manages to detect…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Apostolos Chalkis , Emmanouil Christoforou , Theodore Dalamagkas , Ioannis Z. Emiris

Much research has been conducted arguing that tipping points at which complex systems experience phase transitions are difficult to identify. To test the existence of tipping points in financial markets, based on the alternating offer…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Zvonko Kostanjcar , Stjepan Begusic , H. E. Stanley , Boris Podobnik

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a powerful mathematical theory, largely unexplored in theoretical chemistry. In this work we demonstrate how TDA provides new insights into topological features of electron densities and reduced density…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-19 Małgorzata Olejniczak , André Severo Pereira Gomes , Julien Tierny

In this paper we introduce a new data-driven run-time monitoring system for analysing the behaviour of time evolving complex systems. The monitor controls the evolution of the whole system but it is mined from the data produced by its…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Matteo Rucco , Luca Tesei , Emanuela Merelli

This paper addresses the statistical properties of time series driven by rational bubbles a la Blanchard and Watson (1982), corresponding to multiplicative maps, whose study has recently be revived recently in physics as a mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Thomas Lux , D. Sornette

Analyzing flight trajectory data sets poses challenges due to the intricate interconnections among various factors and the high dimensionality of the data. Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a way of analyzing big data sets focusing on the…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Manuel Cuerno , Luis Guijarro , Rosa María Arnaldo Valdés , Fernando Gómez Comendador

Using a recently introduced rational expectation model of bubbles, based on the interplay between stochasticity and positive feedbacks of prices on returns and volatility, we develop a new methodology to test how this model classifies 9…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. V. Andersen , D Sornette

Exploring the shape of point configurations has been a key driver in the evolution of TDA (short for topological data analysis) since its infancy. This survey illustrates the recent efforts to broaden these ideas to model spatial…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Sebastiano Cultrera di Montesano , Ondrej Draganov , Herbert Edelsbrunner , Morteza Saghafian

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a discipline that applies algebraic topology techniques to analyze complex, multi-dimensional data. Although it is a relatively new field, TDA has been widely and successfully applied across various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Martin Uray , Barbara Giunti , Michael Kerber , Stefan Huber

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) can broadly be described as a collection of data analysis methods that find structure in data. This includes: clustering, manifold estimation, nonlinear dimension reduction, mode estimation, ridge estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-28 Larry Wasserman

Investors in stock market are usually greedy during bull markets and scared during bear markets. The greed or fear spreads across investors quickly. This is known as the herding effect, and often leads to a fast movement of stock prices.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-06 Wanfeng Yan , Edgar van Tuyll van Serooskerken

This application paper presents a comprehensive experimental evaluation of the suitability of Topological Data Analysis (TDA) for the quantitative comparison of turbulent flows. Specifically, our study documents the usage of the persistence…

Understanding temporal patterns in online search behavior is crucial for real-time marketing and trend forecasting. Google Trends offers a rich proxy for public interest, yet the high dimensionality and noise of its time-series data present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Pola Bereta , Ioannis Diamantis

Improvements in experimental and computational technologies have led to significant increases in data available for analysis. Topological data analysis (TDA) is an emerging area of mathematical research that can identify structures in these…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-25 Maria-Veronica Ciocanel , Riley Juenemann , Adriana T. Dawes , Scott A. McKinley

A broad range of natural and social systems from human microbiome to financial markets can go through critical transitions, where the system suddenly collapses to another stable configuration. Critical transitions can be unexpected, with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-17 Ville Laitinen , Leo Lahti

We propose that imitation between traders and their herding behaviour not only lead to speculative bubbles with accelerating over-valuations of financial markets possibly followed by crashes, but also to ``anti-bubbles'' with decelerating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Johansen , D. Sornette

Since August 2000, the stock market in the USA as well as most other western markets have depreciated almost in synchrony according to complex patterns of drops and local rebounds. In \cite{SZ02QF}, we have proposed to describe this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 W. -X. Zhou , D. Sornette

In the context of rapid urbanization, understanding the patterns of urban residents' activities and mobility is crucial for optimizing transportation systems and enhancing urban management efficiency. This study addresses the limitations of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-25 Nuoxian Huang , Yulin Wu

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a rigorous framework that borrows techniques from geometric and algebraic topology, category theory, and combinatorics in order to study the "shape" of such complex high-dimensional data. Research in this…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2022-04-15 R. W. R. Darling , John A. Emanuello , Emilie Purvine , Ahmad Ridley