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We analyze the time series of four major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple) before the digital market crash at the end of 2017 - beginning 2018. We introduce a methodology that combines topological data analysis with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Marian Gidea , Daniel Goldsmith , Yuri Katz , Pablo Roldan , Yonah Shmalo

We present an advance bubble detection methodology based on the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) confidence indicator for the early causal identification of positive and negative bubbles in the Chinese stock market using the daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Min Shu , Wei Zhu

Speculative bubbles exhibit common statistical signatures across many financial markets, suggesting the presence of universal underlying mechanisms. We test this hypothesis in the Iranian stock market, an economy that is highly isolated,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Ali Hosseinzadeh

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has recently gained significant attention in the field of financial prediction. However, the choice of point cloud construction methods, topological feature representations, and classification models has a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dazhi Huang , Pengcheng Xu , Xiaocheng Huang , Jiayi Chen

In this work we evaluate the performance of three classes of methods for detecting financial anomalies: topological data analysis (TDA), principal component analyis (PCA), and Neural Network-based approaches. We apply these methods to the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-06 Luigi Caputi , Nicholas Meadows

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is increasingly crucial in investigating the shape of complex data structures across scientific fields, particularly in neuroscience and finance. This study delves into persistent homology, a TDA component…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Roel Gisolf , Fernando A. N. Santos , Felix Wierstra

Modern business and economic datasets often exhibit nonlinear, multi-scale structures that traditional linear tools under-represent. Topological Data Analysis (TDA) offers a geometric lens for uncovering robust patterns, such as connected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Ioannis Diamantis

The surge of data available on the Internet has driven the adoption of a wide range of computational methods for analyzing and extracting insights from large-scale data. Among these, Machine Learning (ML) has become a central paradigm,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Adaku Uchendu , Thai Le

Our study empirically predicts the bubble of non-fungible tokens (NFTs): transferable and unique digital assets on public blockchains. This topic is important because, despite their strong market growth in 2021, NFTs on a project basis have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-17 Kensuke Ito , Kyohei Shibano , Gento Mogi

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has been praised by researchers for its ability to capture intricate shapes and structures within data. TDA is considered robust in handling noisy and high-dimensional datasets, and its interpretability is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Funmilola Mary Taiwo , Umar Islambekov , Cuneyt Gurcan Akcora

Firm financials are well established as return predictors, being the inspiration for a large set of anomalies in the asset pricing literature. Employing topological data analysis we revisit the question of association between seven of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-26 Pawel Dlotko , Wanling Qiu , Simon Rudkin

In this article, we introduce a Topological Data Analysis (TDA) pipeline for neural spike train data. Understanding how the brain transforms sensory information into perception and behavior requires analyzing coordinated neural population…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Cagatay Ayhan , Audrey N. Nash , Roberto Vincis , Martin Bauer , Richard Bertram , Tom Needham

We implement a computational pipeline based on a recent machine learning technique, namely the Topological Data Analysis (TDA), that has the capability of extracting powerful information-carrying topological features. We apply such a method…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-03-11 Andrea Tirelli , Natanael C. Costa

Topological Data Analysis (TDA), an emerging field in investment sciences, harnesses mathematical methods to extract data features based on shape, offering a promising alternative to classical portfolio selection methodologies. We utilize…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Anubha Goel , Amita Sharma , Juho Kanniainen

Topological data analysis has been acknowledged as one of the most successful mathematical data analytic methodologies in various fields including medicine, genetics, and image analysis. In this paper, we explore the potential of this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-27 Wonse Kim , Younng-Jin Kim , Gihyun Lee , Woong Kook

Keeping a basic tenet of economic theory, rational expectations, we model the nonlinear positive feedback between agents in the stock market as an interplay between nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. The derived hyperbolic stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen

Topological data analysis (TDA), while abstract, allows a characterization of time-series data obtained from nonlinear and complex dynamical systems. Though it is surprising that such an abstract measure of structure - counting pieces and…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Nicole Sanderson , Elliott Shugerman , Samantha Molnar , James D. Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

We propose a reduced form set of two coupled continuous time equations linking the price of a representative asset and the price of a bond, the later quantifying the cost of borrowing. The feedbacks between asset prices and bonds are…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

This paper introduces new methodology based on the field of Topological Data Analysis for detecting anomalies in multivariate time series, that aims to detect global changes in the dependency structure between channels. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Frédéric Chazal , Martin Royer , Clément Levrard

Over the last two decades, topological data analysis (TDA) has emerged as a very powerful data analytic approach which can deal with various data modalities of varying complexities. One of the most commonly used tools in TDA is persistent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass El Yaagoubi Bourakna , Moo K. Chung , Hernando Ombao