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The development of robust Early Warning Signals (EWS) is necessary to quantify the risk of crossing tipping points in the present-day climate change. Classically, EWS are statistical measures based on time series of climate state variables,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-25 Laure Moinat , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

The power grid is a critical infrastructure that allows for the efficient and robust generation, transmission, delivery and consumption of electricity. In the recent years, the physical components have been equipped with computing and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Javier Sande Ríos , Jesús Canal Sánchez , Carmen Manzano Hernandez , Sergio Pastrana

As power systems evolve with increased integration of renewable energy sources, they become more complex and vulnerable to both cyber and physical threats. This study validates a centralized Dynamic State Estimation (DSE) algorithm designed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Emad Abukhousa , Syed Sohail Feroz Syed Afroz , Fahad Alsaeed , Abdulaziz Qwbaiban , A. P. Sakis Meliopoulos

This work presents a threat modelling approach to represent changes to the attack paths through an Internet of Things (IoT) environment when the environment changes dynamically, i.e., when new devices are added or removed from the system or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Marwa Salayma

The escalating threat of cyberattacks on real-time critical infrastructures poses serious risks to public safety, demanding detection methods that effectively capture complex system interdependencies and adapt to evolving attack patterns.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Dongjie Wang , Haoyue Bai , Yanjie Fu

Continuously learning to solve unseen tasks with limited experience has been extensively pursued in meta-learning and continual learning, but with restricted assumptions such as accessible task distributions, independently and identically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Mengdi Xu , Wenhao Ding , Jiacheng Zhu , Zuxin Liu , Baiming Chen , Ding Zhao

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network (MFNN) tailored for rapid high-dimensional grid power flow simulations and contingency analysis with scarce high-fidelity contingency data. The proposed model comprises two networks -- the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Sam Yang , Bjorn Vaagensmith , Deepika Patra , Ryan Hruska , Tyler Phillips

The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Measures of power grid vulnerability are often assessed by the amount of damage an adversary can exact on the network. However, the cascading impact of such attacks is often overlooked, even though cascades are one of the primary causes of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Albert Lam , Mihai Anitescu , Anirudh Subramanyam

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Modern smart grids rely on dense measurement infrastructures, communication links, and intelligent field devices. Although this improves supervision and control, it also increases vulnerability to cyber-physical disruptions. Operators must…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Adis Alihodžić , Eva Tuba , Milan Tuba

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Xuesong Wang , Shuo Yuan , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Le Yi Wang

Industrial cyber physical systems operate under heterogeneous sensing, stochastic dynamics, and shifting process conditions, producing data that are often incomplete, unlabeled, imbalanced, and domain shifted. High-fidelity datasets remain…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Qianyu Zhou

This paper studies the problem of online parameter estimation for cyber-physical systems with binary outputs that may be subject to adversarial data tampering. Existing methods are primarily offline and unsuitable for real-time learning. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-13 Jian Guo , Lihong Pei , Wenchao Xue , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

This paper proposes a worst-case data-driven control architecture capable of ensuring the safety of constrained Cyber-Physical Systems under cyber-attacks while minimizing, whenever possible, potential degradation in tracking performance.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-02 Mehran Attar , Walter Lucia

Addressing the uncertainty introduced by increasing renewable integration is crucial for secure power system operation, yet capturing it while preserving the full nonlinear physics of the grid remains a significant challenge. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Ghulam Mohy-ud-din , Yunqi Wang , Rahmat Heidari , Frederik Geth

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

This paper outlines an optimization framework for choosing fast and reliable control actions in a transmission grid emergency situation. We consider contractual load shedding and generation re-dispatch as exemplary emergency actions. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Sidhant Misra , Line Roald , Marc Vuffray , Michael Chertkov

Over the past decade, the number of wildfire has increased significantly around the world, especially in the State of California. The high-level concentration of greenhouse gas (GHG) emitted by wildfires aggravates global warming that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Sifat Chowdhury , Kai Zhu , Yu Zhang
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