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Accurate prediction of user consumption is a key part not only in understanding consumer flexibility and behavior patterns, but in the design of robust and efficient energy saving programs as well. Existing prediction methods usually have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Pan Li , Baosen Zhang , Yang Weng , Ram Rajagopal

Investigating the causal relationship between exposure and the time-to-event outcome is an important topic in biomedical research. Previous literature has discussed the potential issues of using the hazard ratio as a marginal causal effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-05 Zihan Lin , Ai Ni , Bo Lu

Extreme-scale scientific applications can be more vulnerable to soft errors (transient faults) as high-performance computing systems increase in scale. The common practice to evaluate the resilience to faults of an application is random…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Luanzheng Guo , Dong Li , Ignacio Laguna

In this research we propose a new method for training predictive machine learning models for prescriptive applications. This approach, which we refer to as coupled validation, is based on tweaking the validation step in the standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Ebrahim Mortaz , Alexander Vinel

This paper develops online algorithms to track solutions of time-varying constrained optimization problems. Particularly, resembling workhorse Kalman filtering-based approaches for dynamical systems, the proposed methods involve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Andrea Simonetto , Emiliano Dall'Anese

The coupled problems of selecting control nodes and designing control actions for nonlinear network dynamics are fundamental scientific problems with applications in many diverse fields. These problems are thoroughly studied for linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-25 Aleksandar Haber , Sebastian A. Nugroho , Patricio Torres , Ahmad F. Taha

In the existing literature, most 3D multi-object tracking algorithms based on the tracking-by-detection framework employed deterministic tracks and detections for similarity calculation in the data association stage. Namely, the inherent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Jiawei He , Chunyun Fu , Xiyang Wang

Compared to large speech foundation models, small distilled models exhibit degraded noise robustness. The student's robustness can be improved by introducing noise at the inputs during pre-training. Despite this, using the standard…

We develop a new method for multivariate scalar on multidimensional distribution regression. Traditional approaches typically analyze isolated univariate scalar outcomes or consider unidimensional distributional representations as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for evaluating the efficacy of an intervention. However, there is often a trade-off between selecting the most scientifically relevant primary endpoint versus a less relevant, but more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jack M. Wolf , Joseph S. Koopmeiners , David M. Vock

We present a minimal control-based continuation algorithm designed to track branches of limit cycles in autonomous systems. The controller can be viewed as three sub-controllers: (i) a derivative feedback controller that is used to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Etienne Gourc , Romain Caron , Fabrice Silva , Christophe Vergez , Bruno Cochelin

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

Conformance checking techniques let us find out to what degree a process model and real execution data correspond to each other. In recent years, alignments have proven extremely useful in calculating conformance statistics. Most techniques…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Mohammadreza Fani Sani , Sebastiaan J. van Zelst , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Predictive maintenance in manufacturing environments presents a challenging optimization problem characterized by extreme cost asymmetry, where missed failures incur costs roughly fifty times higher than false alarms. Predictive maintenance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Shaunak Dhande , Chutian Ma , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith , Krishna Taduri

As a natural extension to the standard conformal prediction method, several conformal risk control methods have been recently developed and applied to various learning problems. In this work, we seek to control the conformal risk in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

A new adaptive predictive controller for constrained linear systems is presented. The main feature of the proposed controller is the partition of the input in two components. The first part is used to persistently excite the system, in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Bernardo A. Hernandez , Paul A. Trodden

Inferring the coupling direction from measured time series of complex systems is challenging. We propose a new state space based causality measure obtained from cross-distance vectors for quantifying interaction strength. It is a model-free…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-04 Martin Brešar , Pavle Boškoski

Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

When developing high-speed and high-precision CNC machine tools, subsystem coupling effects must be considered while designing the feed system to maximize its dynamic performance. Currently, the influence of changes in control parameters on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-17 Dongsheng Zhang , Xuesong Wang , Tingting Zhang