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Estimating and reacting to external disturbances is of fundamental importance for robust control of quadrotors. Existing estimators typically require significant tuning or training with a large amount of data, including the ground truth, to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bingheng Wang , Zhengtian Ma , Shupeng Lai , Lin Zhao , Tong Heng Lee

The neural moving horizon estimator (NMHE) is a relatively new and powerful state estimator that combines the strengths of neural networks (NNs) and model-based state estimation techniques. Various approaches exist for constructing NMHEs,…

In this paper, the robust stability and convergence to the true state of moving horizon estimator based on an adaptive arrival cost are established for nonlinear detectable systems. Robust global asymptotic stability is shown for the case…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Marina H. Murillo , Guido Sanchez , Lucas M. Genzelis , Leonardo Giovanini

Moving horizon estimation (MHE) is a widely studied state estimation approach in several practical applications. In the MHE problem, the state estimates are obtained via the solution of an approximated nonlinear optimization problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Tianchen Liu , Kushal Chakrabarti , Nikhil Chopra

Observers for PDEs are themselves PDEs. Therefore, producing real time estimates with such observers is computationally burdensome. For both finite-dimensional and ODE systems, moving-horizon estimators (MHE) are operators whose output is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Luke Bhan , Yuanyuan Shi , Iasson Karafyllis , Miroslav Krstic , James B. Rawlings

In this paper, we propose novel Gaussian process-gated hierarchical mixtures of experts (GPHMEs). Unlike other mixtures of experts with gating models linear in the input, our model employs gating functions built with Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

In this work, asymptotically stable state estimation schemes are proposed for rigid body motion, using the framework of geometric mechanics. Rigorous stability analyses of the estimation schemes presented here guarantee the nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Maziar Izadi

Hawkes Processes have undergone increasing popularity as default tools for modeling self- and mutually exciting interactions of discrete events in continuous-time event streams. A Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) unconstrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rafael Lima

In Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) the computed estimate is found by solving a constrained finite-time optimal estimation problem in real-time at each sample in a receding horizon fashion. The constrained estimation problem can be solved…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Isak Nielsen , Daniel Axehill

Optimisation-based algorithms known as Moving Horizon Estimator (MHE) have been developed through the years. This paper illustrates the implementation of the policy introduced in the companion paper submitted to the 18th IFAC Workshop on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Federico Oliva , Daniele Carnevale

This paper formalises the concepts of weakly and weakly regularly persistent input trajectory as well as their link to the Observability Grammian and the existence and uniqueness of solutions of Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) problems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Emilien Flayac , Iman Shames

This paper presents a recursive solution to the receding or moving horizon estimation (MHE) problem for nonlinear time-variant systems. We provide the conditions under which the recursive MHE is equivalent to the extended Kalman filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Xu Weng , K. V. Ling , Ling Zhao

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

Accurate disturbance estimation is essential for safe robot operations. The recently proposed neural moving horizon estimation (NeuroMHE), which uses a portable neural network to model the MHE's weightings, has shown promise in further…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Bingheng Wang , Xuyang Chen , Lin Zhao

Moving Horizon Estimation~(MHE) is essentially an optimization-based approach designed to estimate the states of dynamic systems within a moving time horizon. Traditional MHE solutions become computationally prohibitive due to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-22 Shuting Wu , Yifei Wang , Jingzhe Wang , Apostolos I. Rikos , Xu Du

We investigate schemes for Hamiltonian parameter estimation of a two-level system using repeated measurements in a fixed basis. The simplest (Fourier based) schemes yield an estimate with a mean square error (MSE) that decreases at best as…

This paper considers the quantification of the prediction performance in Gaussian process regression. The standard approach is to base the prediction error bars on the theoretical predictive variance, which is a lower bound on the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 Johan Wågberg , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön , Petre Stoica

This paper considers the problem of remote state estimation for Markov jump linear systems in the presence of uncertainty in the posterior mode probabilities. Such uncertainty may arise when the estimator receives noisy or incomplete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Ioannis Tzortzis , Themistoklis Charalambous , Charalambos D. Charalambous

Gaussian processes are frequently deployed as part of larger machine learning and decision-making systems, for instance in geospatial modeling, Bayesian optimization, or in latent Gaussian models. Within a system, the Gaussian process model…

For reliable and safe battery operations, accurate and robust State of Charge (SOC) and model parameters estimation are vital. However, the nonlinear dependency of the model parameters on battery states makes the problem challenging. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-24 Tushar Desai , Federico Oliva , Riccardo M. G. Ferrari , Daniele Carnevale