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Early warning systems (EWSs) are critical for forecasting and preventing economic and financial crises. EWSs are designed to provide early warning signs of financial troubles, allowing policymakers and market participants to intervene…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Ali Namaki , Reza Eyvazloo , Shahin Ramtinnia

In this study, we investigate prediction methods for an early warning system for a large STEM undergraduate course. Recent studies have provided evidence in favour of adopting early warning systems as a means of identifying at-risk…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Emma Howard , Maria Meehan , Andrew Parnell

Timely prediction of students at high risk of dropout is critical for early intervention and improving educational outcomes. However, in offline educational settings, poor data quality, limited scale, and high heterogeneity often hinder the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Xinzhe Zheng

Student dropout prediction is an indispensable for numerous intelligent systems to measure the education system and success rate of any university as well as throughout the university in the world. Therefore, it becomes essential to develop…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Sweta Rai

Education plays a pivotal role in alleviating poverty, driving economic growth, and empowering individuals, thereby significantly influencing societal and personal development. However, the persistent issue of school dropout poses a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Maria Psyridou , Fabi Prezja , Minna Torppa , Marja-Kristiina Lerkkanen , Anna-Maija Poikkeus , Kati Vasalampi

Early warning signals (EWSs) forewarn a sudden transition (or tipping) from a desirable state to an undesirable state. However, we observe that EWSs detect an impending tipping past bifurcation points when control parameters are varied…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-15 Rohit Radhakrishnan , Induja Pavithran , Valerie Livina , Jürgen Kurths , R. I. Sujith

Large-scale administrative data is a common input in early warning systems for college dropout in higher education. Still, the terminology and methodology vary significantly across existing studies, and the implications of different…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Dominik Glandorf , Hye Rin Lee , Gabe Avakian Orona , Marina Pumptow , Renzhe Yu , Christian Fischer

Early warning signals (EWSs) for complex dynamical systems aim to anticipate tipping points before they occur. While signals computed from time series data, such as temporal variance, are useful for this task, they are costly to obtain in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-13 Neil G. MacLaren , Kazuyuki Aihara , Naoki Masuda

The development of robust Early Warning Signals (EWS) is necessary to quantify the risk of crossing tipping points in the present-day climate change. Classically, EWS are statistical measures based on time series of climate state variables,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-25 Laure Moinat , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have prompted the development of high-performing early warning score (EWS) systems, predicting clinical deteriorations such as acute kidney injury, acute myocardial infarction, or circulatory failure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Yuxiao Cheng , Xinxin Song , Ziqian Wang , Qin Zhong , Kunlun He , Jinli Suo

Early prediction of students at risk (STAR) is an effective and significant means to provide timely intervention for dropout and suicide. Existing works mostly rely on either online or offline learning behaviors which are not comprehensive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yu Yang , Zhiyuan Wen , Jiannong Cao , Jiaxing Shen , Hongzhi Yin , Xiaofang Zhou

Many natural and man-made systems are prone to critical transitions -- abrupt and potentially devastating changes in dynamics. Deep learning classifiers can provide an early warning signal (EWS) for critical transitions by learning generic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-12 Thomas M. Bury , Daniel Dylewsky , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand , Leon Glass , Alvin Shrier , Gil Bub

Gentrification and its resultant displacement are one of the many "wicked problems" of social policy. The study of gentrification and displacement spans half a century, concerns a variety of spatial, temporal, and social contexts, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Jan Voltaire Vergara , Maria Y. Rodriguez , Ehren Dohler , Jonathan Phillips , Melissa Villodas , Amy Blank Wilson , Kenneth Joseph

We use learning data of an e-assessment platform for an introductory mathematical statistics course to predict the probability of passing the final exam for each student. Subsequently, we send warning emails to students with a low predicted…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Jens Klenke , Till Massing , Natalie Reckmann , Janine Langerbein , Benjamin Otto , Michael Goedicke , Christoph Hanck

Early Warning Signals (EWSs) are vital for implementing preventive measures before a disease turns into a pandemic. While new diseases exhibit unique behaviors, they often share fundamental characteristics from a dynamical systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Reza Miry , Amit K. Chakraborty , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang , Tianyu Guan , Pouria Ramazi

In this topical review, we present a brief overview of the different methods and measures to detect the occurrence of critical transitions in complex systems. We start by introducing the mechanisms that trigger critical transitions, and how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-05 Sandip V. George , Sneha Kachhara , G. Ambika

Methods to detect the emergence of infectious diseases, and approach to the "critical transition" RE = 1, have to potential to avert substantial disease burden by facilitating preemptive actions like vaccination campaigns. Early warning…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Callum R. K. Arnold , Matthew J. Ferrari

The timely detection of disease outbreaks through reliable early warning signals (EWSs) is indispensable for effective public health mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, the intricate dynamics of real-world disease spread, often influenced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Amit K. Chakraborty , Shan Gao , Reza Miry , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang

In the last two decades, number of Higher Education Institutions (HEI) grows rapidly in India. Since most of the institutions are opened in private mode therefore, a cut throat competition rises among these institutions while attracting the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Saurabh Pal

Background: Programming skills are advantageous to navigate today's society, so it is important to teach them to students. However, failure rates for programming courses are high, and especially students who fall behind early in…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Belinda Schantong , Dominik Gorgosch , Janet Siegmund
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