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Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

In the context of the long-tail scenario, models exhibit a strong demand for high-quality data. Data-centric approaches aim to enhance both the quantity and quality of data to improve model performance. Among these approaches, information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Yanbiao Ma , Licheng Jiao , Fang Liu , Shuyuan Yang , Xu Liu , Puhua Chen

Uncertainty estimation of trained deep learning networks is valuable for optimizing learning efficiency and evaluating the reliability of network predictions. In this paper, we propose a method for estimating uncertainty in deep learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Hansang Lee , Haeil Lee , Helen Hong , Junmo Kim

Forecasting univariate time series in the financial market is a challenging endeavor. While numerous statistical and machine learning models have been introduced to address this challenge, they typically concentrate solely on analyzing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Marco Gregnanin , Johannes De Smedt , Giorgio Gnecco , Maurizio Parton

Predicting missing facts for temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) is a fundamental task, called temporal knowledge graph completion (TKGC). One key challenge in this task is the imbalance in data distribution, where facts are unevenly spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jiasheng Zhang , Deqiang Ouyang , Shuang Liang , Jie Shao

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli

Modeling the evolution of system with time-series data is a challenging and critical task in a wide range of fields, especially when the time-series data is regularly sampled and partially observable. Some methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

Multivariate time series forecasting has long received significant attention in real-world applications, such as energy consumption and traffic prediction. While recent methods demonstrate good forecasting abilities, they have three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Ming Jin , Yu Zheng , Yuan-Fang Li , Siheng Chen , Bin Yang , Shirui Pan

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Dynamic recommendation systems aim to provide personalized suggestions by modeling temporal user-item interactions across time-series behavioral data. Recent studies have leveraged pre-trained dynamic graph neural networks (GNNs) to learn…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zhen Tao , Xinke Jiang , Qingshuai Feng , Haoyu Zhang , Lun Du , Yuchen Fang , Hao Miao , Bangquan Xie , Qingqiang Sun

Insider threat detection (ITD) is challenging due to the subtle and concealed nature of malicious activities performed by trusted users. This paper proposes a post-hoc ITD framework that integrates explicit and implicit graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Rahul Yumlembam , Biju Issac , Seibu Mary Jacob , Longzhi Yang , Deepa Krishnan

Systems characterized by evolving interactions, prevalent in social, financial, and biological domains, are effectively modeled as continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs). To manage the scale and complexity of these graph datasets, machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 João Bravo , Jacopo Bono , Pedro Saleiro , Hugo Ferreira , Pedro Bizarro

In this study, we investigate using graph neural network (GNN) representations to enhance contextualized representations of pre-trained language models (PLMs) for keyphrase extraction from lengthy documents. We show that augmenting a PLM…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Roberto Martínez-Cruz , Debanjan Mahata , Alvaro J. López-López , José Portela

In recent years, graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged as a potent tool for learning on graph-structured data and won fruitful successes in varied fields. The majority of GNNs follow the message-passing paradigm, where representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Yurui Lai , Xiaoyang Lin , Renchi Yang , Hongtao Wang

Detection of pulmonary nodules by CT is used for screening lung cancer in early stages.omputer aided diagnosis (CAD) based on deep-learning method can identify the suspected areas of pulmonary nodules in CT images, thus improving the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Yang Liu , Yue-Jie Hou , Chen-Xin Qin , Xin-Hui Li , Si-Jing Li , Bin Wang , Chi-Chun Zhou

Inferring missing facts in temporal knowledge graphs is a critical task and has been widely explored. Extrapolation in temporal reasoning tasks is more challenging and gradually attracts the attention of researchers since no direct history…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Mengnan Zhao , Lihe Zhang , Yuqiu Kong , Baocai Yin

The Dynamical Graph Grammar (DGG) formalism can describe complex system dynamics with graphs that are mapped into a master equation. An exact stochastic simulation algorithm may be used, but it is slow for large systems. To overcome this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-16 Eric Medwedeff , Eric Mjolsness

This paper presents a physics-informed framework that integrates graph convolutional networks (GCN) with long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture to forecast microstructure evolution over long time horizons in both 2D and 3D with…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-19 Hamidreza Razavi , Nele Moelans