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Previous works concerning active galactic nuclei (AGN) variability (e.g., Blandford \& McKee 1982) have assumed that the emission characteristics of illuminated clouds are purely a function of the instant continuum flux to which they are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Jason A. Taylor

Thesis is devoted to the application of cumulant analysis in the estimation of impulse response functions for continuous time-invariant linear systems, including systems with inner noises. The main assumption of the work is the second-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Irina Blazhievska

The paper presents a Gaussian/kernel process regression method for real-time state estimation and forecasting of phase angle and angular speed in systems with a high penetration of solar generation units, operating under a sparse…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Mohammad Ensaf , Masoud Barati

Automatic forecasting is the task of receiving a time series and returning a forecast for the next time steps without any human intervention. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for modeling time series, but so far there are no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Gaussian processes (GPs) produce good probabilistic models of functions, but most GP kernels require $O((n+m)n^2)$ time, where $n$ is the number of data points and $m$ the number of predictive locations. We present a new kernel that allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Michael K. Cohen , Samuel Daulton , Michael A. Osborne

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic modeling, but their performance is often constrained in complex, large-scale real-world domains due to the limited expressivity of classical kernels. Quantum computing offers…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Meet Gandhi , George P. Kontoudis

Interference prediction and resource allocation are critical challenges in mission-critical applications where stringent latency and reliability constraints must be met. This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process regression (GPR)-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Matti Latva-aho

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These uncertainty estimates however, are based on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Harris Papadopoulos

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba

Broad emission lines of active galactic nuclei stem from a spatially extended region (broad-line region, BLR) that is composed of discrete clouds and photoionized by the central ionizing continuum. The temporal behaviors of these emission…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-07 Yan-Rong Li , Jian-Min Wang , Jin-Ming Bai

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a fundamental tool in Bayesian statistics. It is also known as kriging and is the Bayesian counterpart to the frequentist kernel ridge regression. Most of the theoretical work on GP regression has focused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Simon Barthelmé , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Nicolas Tremblay , Konstantin Usevich

Extrinsic Gaussian process regression methods, such as wrapped Gaussian process, have been developed to analyze manifold data. However, there is a lack of intrinsic Gaussian process methods for studying complex data with manifold-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Zhanfeng Wang , Xinyu Li , Hao Ding , Jian Qing Shi

Stellar active regions like spots and faculae can distort the shapes of spectral lines, inducing variations in the radial velocities that are often orders of magnitude larger than the signals from Earth-like planets. Efforts to mitigate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Haochuan Yu , Suzanne Aigrain , Baptiste Klein , Michael Cretignier , Florian Lienhard , Stephen J. Roberts

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery