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Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi

Multi-task learning requires accurate identification of the correlations between tasks. In real-world time-series, tasks are rarely perfectly temporally aligned; traditional multi-task models do not account for this and subsequent errors in…

This article shortly introduces Gaussian processes (GP) as a new approach for modelling time series in the field of blazar physics. In the second part of the paper, recent results from an application of GP modelling to the multi-wavelength…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-03-08 V. Karamanavis

Active galactic nuclei (AGN) are high luminosity sources powered by accretion of matter onto SMBHs located at the centres of galaxies. The SMBH is surrounded by a broad emission line region (BLR) and a dusty torus. It is difficult to study…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-05-07 Amit Kumar Mandal , Suvendu Rakshit , Indrani Pal , Chelliah Subramonian Stalin , Ram Sagar , Blesson Mathew

Modern cosmological analyses constrain physical parameters using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or similar sampling techniques. Oftentimes, these techniques are computationally expensive to run and require up to thousands of CPU hours to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Thomas McClintock , Eduardo Rozo

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is a common approach to account for correlated noise in exoplanet time series, particularly for transmission and emission spectroscopy. This analysis has typically been performed for each wavelength…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-05 Mark Fortune , Neale P. Gibson , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Thomas M. Evans-Soma , Cathal Maguire , Swaetha Ramkumar

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

According to the standard paradigm, the strong and compact luminosity of active galactic nuclei (AGN) is due to multi-temperature black body emission originating from an accretion disk formed around a supermassive black hole. This central…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2016-10-18 P. Andrea Rojas Lobos , Rene W. Goosmann , Frederic Marin

Interferometric gravitational-wave observatories have opened a new era in astronomy. The rich data produced by an international network enables detailed analysis of the curved space-time around black holes. With nearly one hundred signals…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-03-07 Gregory Ashton

The last two decades have seen a major expansion in the availability, size, and precision of time-domain datasets in astronomy. Owing to their unique combination of flexibility, mathematical simplicity and comparative robustness, Gaussian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-11 Suzanne Aigrain , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Gravitational waves astronomy has opened a new opportunity to study the Universe. Full exploitation of this window can especially be provided by combining data coming from gravitational waves experiments with luminous tracers of the Large…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-21 Giulio Scelfo , Lumen Boco , Andrea Lapi , Matteo Viel

In our previous work, we applied the ICCF-Cut method to the continuum reverberation mapping (CRM) of six active galactic nuclei (AGNs) based on the published Swift data. Extending this work, we perform a systematic AGN CRM study utilizing…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-11-11 Chi-Zhuo Wang , Xue-Bing Wu , Yuanzhe Jiang , Qinchun Ma , Huapeng Gu , Yuhan Wen

We propose a new technique to measure the time delay of radio-loud gravitational lens systems, which does not rely on the excessive use of interferometric observations. Instead, the method is based on single-dish flux density monitoring of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Bernhard Geiger , Peter Schneider

A generalized approach to reverberation mapping (RM) is presented, which is applicable to broad- and narrow-band photometric data, as well as to spectroscopic observations. It is based on multivariate correlation analysis techniques and, in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-29 Doron Chelouche , Shay Zucker

Several applications such as nuclear forensics, nuclear fuel cycle simulations and sensitivity analysis require methods to quickly compute spent fuel nuclide compositions for various irradiation histories. Traditionally, this has been done…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-16 Antonio Figueroa , Malte Goettsche

The advent of new time domain surveys and the imminent increase in astronomical data expose the shortcomings in traditional time series analysis (such as power spectra analysis) in characterising the abundantly varied, complex and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-07-22 R. A. Phillipson , P. T. Boyd , A. P. Smale , M. S. Vogeley

Predictions of nuclear models guide the design of nuclear facilities to ensure their safe and efficient operation. Because nuclear models often do not perfectly reproduce available experimental data, decisions based on their predictions may…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-11-22 Georg Schnabel

This work presents a novel method for extracting potential barrier distributions from experimental fusion cross sections. We utilize a simple Gaussian process regression (GPR) framework to model the observed cross sections as a function of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-06-10 Kyle Godbey

Training and inference in Gaussian processes (GPs) require solving linear systems with $n\times n$ kernel matrices. To address the prohibitive $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ time complexity, recent work has employed fast iterative methods, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Kaiwen Wu , Jonathan Wenger , Haydn Jones , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner