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Transformer-based models have emerged as promising tools for time series forecasting. However, these model cannot make accurate prediction for long input time series. On the one hand, they failed to capture global dependencies within time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 YanJun Zhao , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Mengni Ye , Yi Qian

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yong Liu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Although many complex models were proposed to analyze time series data, some studies have demonstrated remarkable performance with simpler structures. A recent study proposed a non-parametric framework for 3D point cloud classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Bowen Liu , Haijian Lai , Chan-Tong Lam , Junhao Dong , Benjamin Ng , Wei Ke , Sio-Kei Im

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Recurrent neural networks and sequence to sequence models require a predetermined length for prediction output length. Our model addresses this by allowing the network to predict a variable length output in inference. A new loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Mark Harmon , Diego Klabjan

Predicting volatility in financial markets, including stocks, index ETFs, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrencies, remains a challenging task due to the inherent complexity and non-linear dynamics of these time series. In this study, I apply…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Alex Li

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) possess many positive qualities when it comes to spatial raster data. Translation invariance enables CNNs to detect features regardless of their position in the scene. However, in some domains, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Arnas Uselis , Mantas Lukoševičius , Lukas Stasytis

This work presents a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for the prediction of next-day stock fluctuations using company-specific news headlines. Experiments to evaluate model performance using various configurations of word-embeddings and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Jonathan Readshaw , Stefano Giani

Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Omer Berat Sezer , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

This paper presents a convolutional neural network (CNN) which can be used for forecasting electricity load profiles 36 hours into the future. In contrast to well established CNN architectures, the input data is one-dimensional. A parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Christian Lang , Florian Steinborn , Oliver Steffens , Elmar W. Lang

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that use several hidden layers. They have recently gained considerable attention in the speech transcription and image recognition community (Krizhevsky et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-15 Matthew Dixon , Diego Klabjan , Jin Hoon Bang

Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Xing Wang , Zhendong Wang , Kexin Yang , Junlan Feng , Zhiyan Song , Chao Deng , Lin zhu

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Although the Transformer has been the dominant architecture for time series forecasting tasks in recent years, a fundamental challenge remains: the permutation-invariant self-attention mechanism within Transformers leads to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Zeying Gong , Yujin Tang , Junwei Liang

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Kevin Trebing , Siamak Mehrkanoon