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LLMs are increasingly used to make or support high-stakes decisions under uncertainty, where alignment depends not only on factual accuracy but on how models weigh tradeoffs between different outcomes. We present an empirical pipeline for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Khurram Yamin , Jingjing Tang , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Negative user preference is an important context that is not sufficiently utilized by many existing recommender systems. This context is especially useful in scenarios where the cost of negative items is high for the users. In this work, we…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Bibek Paudel , Sandro Luck , Abraham Bernstein

This paper studies a life-cycle optimal portfolio-consumption problem when the consumption performance is measured by a shortfall aversion preference with an additional drawdown constraint on consumption rate. Meanwhile, the agent also…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Xun Li , Xiang Yu , Qinyi Zhang

This paper proposes a model of decision-making under uncertainty in which an agent is constrained in her cognitive ability to consider complex acts. We identify the complexity of an act according to the corresponding partition of state…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-27 Yuan Gu , Chao Hung Chan

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

Algorithmic recourse provides individuals who receive undesirable outcomes from machine learning systems with minimum-cost improvements to achieve a desirable outcome. However, machine learning models often get updated, so the recourse may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Kshitij Kayastha , Vasilis Gkatzelis , Shahin Jabbari

While the investors' responses to price changes and their price forecasts are well accepted major factors contributing to large price fluctuations in financial markets, our study shows that investors' heterogeneous and dynamic risk aversion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Baosheng Yuan , Kan Chen

Strategies aimed at reducing the negative effects of long-term uncertainty and risk are common in biology, game theory, and finance, even if they entail a cost in terms of mean benefit. Here, we focus on the single mutant's invasion of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-25 Rubén Calvo Ibáñez , Miguel Ángel Muñoz , Tobias Galla

Motivated by pricing in ad exchange markets, we consider the problem of robust learning of reserve prices against strategic buyers in repeated contextual second-price auctions. Buyers' valuations for an item depend on the context that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Negin Golrezaei , Adel Javanmard , Vahab Mirrokni

This paper studies dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and several sources of ambiguity. The market consists of a risk-free asset, a zero-coupon bond (both determined by a Vasicek model), and a stock. There is ambiguity about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Julian Hölzermann

We study the effect of persistence of engagement on learning in a stochastic multi-armed bandit setting. In advertising and recommendation systems, repetition effect includes a wear-in period, where the user's propensity to reward the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Priyank Agrawal , Theja Tulabandhula

Purpose: This paper explores gender differences in two distinct forms of risk aversion -- Payoff Risk Aversion (PaRA) and Price Risk Aversion (PrRA) -- in order to provide a more nuanced understanding of how men and women respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-25 Ali Zeytoon-Nejad

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

We consider risk averse investors with different levels of anxiety about asset price drawdowns. The latter is defined as the distance of the current price away from its best performance since inception. These drawdowns can increase either…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-02 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Hongzhong Zhang

This paper considers the optimal portfolio selection problem in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with regime switching. The risk preferences are of exponential (CARA) type with an absolute coefficient of risk aversion which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-02-25 Traian A Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Financial data has been extensively studied for correlations using Pearson's cross-correlation coefficient {\rho} as the point of departure. We employ an estimator based on recurrence plots --- the Correlation of Probability of Recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-05 B. Goswami , G. Ambika , N. Marwan , J. Kurths

This work theoretically studies a ubiquitous reinforcement learning policy for controlling the canonical model of continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems. We show that randomized certainty equivalent policy addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh

Can large language models (LLMs) learn a decision maker's preferences from observed choices and generate preference-consistent recommendations in new situations? We propose a portable Simulate-Recommend-Evaluate framework that tests…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-08 Jeongbin Kim , Matthew Kovach , Kyu-Min Lee , Euncheol Shin , Hector Tzavellas

Consumer regret is a widespread post-purchase emotion that significantly impacts satisfaction, product returns, complaint behavior, and customer loyalty. Despite its prevalence, there is a limited understanding of why certain consumers…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-01 Shawn Berry
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