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This work is concerned with the stability of regime-switching processes under the perturbation of the transition rate matrices. From the viewpoint of application, two kinds of perturbations are studied: the size of the transition rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

Tipping refers to the transition of a system from one state to another. In this study, we focus on shock-induced tipping, which occurs due to a sudden and large disturbance in a control parameter, which is referred to as the shock. This…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-17 Bhadra Sreelatha , Rohit Radhakrishnan , R. I. Sujith

We consider the one-dimensional Swift-Hohenberg equation coupled to a conservation law. As a parameter increases the system undergoes a Turing bifurcation. We study the dynamics near this bifurcation. First, we show that stationary,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Bastian Hilder

Regime shifts in biology, ecology, and other complex systems are often interpreted through stability landscapes and early warning signals that implicitly assume dynamics without memory effects. Yet many real systems exhibit these effects,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Moein Khalighi , Chandler Ross , Ville Laitinen , Guilhem Sommeria-Klein , Leo Lahti

Bifurcations can cause dynamical systems with slowly varying parameters to transition to far-away attractors. The terms ``critical transition'' or ``tipping point'' have been used to describe this situation. Critical transitions have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Christian Kuehn

We analyze phase transitions in the conditional entropy of a sequence caused by a change in the conditional variables. Such transitions happen, for example, when training to learn the parameters of a system, since the transition from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Kang Gao , Bertrand Hochwald

Planar switched system with dead-zone are analyzed. In particular, we consider the effects of perturbation of the linear control law from purely positional to position-velocity control. This type of perturbation leads to a novel Hopf-like…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-26 P. Kowalczyk

Current early warning signs for tipping points often fail to distinguish between catastrophic shifts and less dramatic state changes, such as spatial pattern formation. This paper introduces a novel method that addresses this limitation by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Paul A. Sanders , Robbin Bastiaansen

Initial-switching refers to the way in which the decay of an initially confined state begins, as the barrier isolating it from the exterior is relaxed. We study these effects in the context of Longhi's version of the Fano-Anderson model.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 J. Martorell , D. W. L. Sprung , W. van Dijk , J. G. Muga

Bifurcations of dynamical systems, described by a second order differential equations and by an impact condition are studied. It is shown that the variation of parameters when the number of impacts of a periodic solution increases, leads to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-23 Sergey Kryzhevich

Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

This work provides a geometric approach to the study of bifurcation and rate induced transitions in a class of non-autonomous systems referred to herein as $\textit{asymptotically slow-fast systems}$, which may be viewed as 'intermediate'…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Samuel Jelbart

The early prediction of tipping points, distinguished by sudden and catastrophic shifts from stable states, poses a challenging task that would enable us to assess the impending threat across natural and engineered systems. This threat…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Tapas Bar , Anurag Banerjee , Blai Casals , Gustau Catalan , Javier Rodríguez-Viejo

It is shown that periodic instanton solutions may have bifurcations which qualitatively change the behaviour of the finite temperature transition rate. These bifurcations are studied numerically in a quantum mechanical model and in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-30 A. N. Kuznetsov , P. G. Tinyakov

Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange sampling, is an important method for simulating complex systems. In this algorithm simulations are conducted in parallel at a series of temperatures, and the key feature of the algorithm is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-14 Paul Dupuis , Yufei Liu , Nuria Plattner , J. D. Doll

Various subsystems of the Earth system may undergo critical transitions by passing a so-called tipping point, under sustained changes to forcing. For example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is of particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-01 Kerstin Lux , Peter Ashwin , Richard Wood , Christian Kuehn

Critical transitions describe sudden changes in the state of an ecosystem. In classical bifurcation theory, such transitions occur when the value of a parameter exceeds a threshold (``bifurcation") value. More recently, critical transitions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Irakli Antidze , Brian Hennessy , Nikola Popovic , Zak Sattar

We study a dynamical counterpart of bifurcation to invariant torus for a system of interconnected fast phase variables and slowly varying parameters. We show that in such a system, due to the slow evolution of parameters, there arise…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-08-28 A. M. Samoilenko , I. O. Parasyuk , B. V. Repeta

In order to investigate the evolutionary process of many deterministic Dynamical systems with unfixed parameter, a set of dynamical models with parameter changing continuously and the accumulation of this change might be large is introduced…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 H. P. Fang

Machine learning models nowadays play a crucial role for many applications in business and industry. However, models only start adding value as soon as they are deployed into production. One challenge of deployed models is the effect of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Lucas Baier , Vincent Kellner , Niklas Kühl , Gerhard Satzger