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This paper presents an ensemble forecasting method that shows strong results on the M4 Competition dataset by decreasing feature and model selection assumptions, termed DONUT (DO Not UTilize human beliefs). Our assumption reductions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Lars Lien Ankile , Kjartan Krange

Highlights in a sport video are usually referred as actions that stimulate excitement or attract attention of the audience. A big effort is spent in designing techniques which find automatically highlights, in order to automatize the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Marco Godi , Paolo Rota , Francesco Setti

This paper introduces an innovative application of Large Event Models (LEMs), akin to Large Language Models, to the domain of soccer analytics. By learning the language of soccer - predicting variables for subsequent events rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Competitive online games use rating systems to match players with similar skills to ensure a satisfying experience for players. In this paper, we focus on the importance of addressing different aspects of playing behavior when modeling…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Arman Dehpanah , Muheeb Faizan Ghori , Jonathan Gemmell , Bamshad Mobasher

Anticipating future actions is a key component of intelligence, specifically when it applies to real-time systems, such as robots or autonomous cars. While recent works have addressed prediction of raw RGB pixel values, we focus on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Fahimeh Rezazadegan , Sareh Shirazi , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh , Larry S. Davis

We test the abilities of specialised deep neural networks like PersonalityMap as well as general LLMs like GPT-4o and Claude 3 Opus in understanding human personality. Specifically, we compare their ability to predict correlations between…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Philipp Schoenegger , Spencer Greenberg , Alexander Grishin , Joshua Lewis , Lucius Caviola

Most forecasting methods use recent past observations (lags) to model the future values of univariate time series. Selecting an adequate number of lags is important for training accurate forecasting models. Several approaches and heuristics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 José Leites , Vitor Cerqueira , Carlos Soares

In collaborative environments, a deep understanding of multi-human teaming dynamics is essential for optimizing performance. However, the relationship between individuals' behavioral and physiological markers and their combined influence on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-28 Yinuo Qin , Richard T. Lee , Weijia Zhang , Xiaoxiao Sun , Paul Sajda

Individual-level human mobility prediction has emerged as a significant topic of research with applications in infectious disease monitoring, child, and elderly care. Existing studies predominantly focus on the microscopic aspects of human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Ruochen Kong , Joon-Seok Kim , Andreas Züfle

One of the emerging trends for sports analytics is the growing use of player and ball tracking data. A parallel development is deep learning predictive approaches that use vast quantities of data with less reliance on feature engineering.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Rajiv Shah , Rob Romijnders

Recent approaches to goal recognition have leveraged planning landmarks to achieve high-accuracy with low runtime cost. These approaches, however, lack a probabilistic interpretation. Furthermore, while most probabilistic models to goal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Kin Max Gusmão , Ramon Fraga Pereira , Felipe Meneguzzi

There has long been debates on how we could interpret neural networks and understand the decisions our models make. Specifically, why deep neural networks tend to be error-prone when dealing with samples that output low softmax scores. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Simiao Zuo , Jialin Wu

This research investigates the use of machine learning methods to forecast students' academic performance in a school setting. Students' data with behavioral, academic, and demographic details were used in implementations with standard…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-11 A. G. R. Sandeepa , Sanka Mohottala

Sophisticated trajectory prediction models that effectively mimic team dynamics have many potential uses for sports coaches, broadcasters and spectators. However, through experiments on soccer data we found that it can be surprisingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Brandon Victor , Aiden Nibali , Zhen He , David L. Carey

The efficacy of machine learning (ML) models depends on both algorithms and data. Training data defines what we want our models to learn, and testing data provides the means by which their empirical progress is measured. Benchmark datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Lora Aroyo , Matthew Lease , Praveen Paritosh , Mike Schaekermann

An increasing number of domains are providing us with detailed trace data on human decisions in settings where we can evaluate the quality of these decisions via an algorithm. Motivated by this development, an emerging line of work has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Ashton Anderson , Jon Kleinberg , Sendhil Mullainathan

Predictive process monitoring enables organizations to proactively react and intervene in running instances of a business process. Given an incomplete process instance, predictions about the outcome, next activity, or remaining time are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Martin Käppel , Julian Neuberger , Felix Möhrlein , Sven Weinzierl , Martin Matzner , Stefan Jablonski

This study investigates the forecasting accuracy of human experts versus Large Language Models (LLMs) in the retail sector, particularly during standard and promotional sales periods. Utilizing a controlled experimental setup with 123 human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 MAhdi Abolghasemi , Odkhishig Ganbold , Kristian Rotaru

Recognising intent in collaborative human robot tasks can improve team performance and human perception of robots. Intent can differ from the observed outcome in the presence of mistakes which are likely in physically dynamic tasks. We…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Vidullan Surendran , Alan R. Wagner

Forecasting winners in E-sports with real-time analytics has the potential to further engage audiences watching major tournament events. However, making such real-time predictions is challenging due to unpredictable variables within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kittimate Chulajata , Sean Wu , Fabien Scalzo , Eun Sang Cha