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The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

The purpose this article is to try to understand the mysterious coincidence between the asymptotic behavior of the volumes of the Moduli Space of closed hyperbolic surfaces of genus $g$ with respect to the Weil-Petersson metric and the…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Cayo Dória

We introduce the notion of a rational dynamical system extending the classical notion of a topological dynamical system and we prove (multiple) recurrence results for such systems via a partition theorem for the rational numbers proved by…

General Topology · Mathematics 2011-01-18 Andreas Koutsogiannis

We consider random walks on semisimple Lie groups where the support of the step distribution generates (as a group) a Zariski dense discrete subgroup of infinite covolume. When the semisimple Lie group has property (T), we show that the…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Dongryul M. Kim , Andrew Zimmer

This paper considers the family of invariant measures of Markovian mean-field interacting particle systems on a countably infinite state space and studies its large deviation asymptotics. The Freidlin-Wentzell quasipotential is the usual…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Sarath Yasodharan , Rajesh Sundaresan

We give the first (ZFC) dividing line in Keisler's order among the unstable theories, specifically among the simple unstable theories. That is, for any infinite cardinal $\lambda$ for which there is $\mu < \lambda \leq 2^\mu$, we construct…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-08-13 M. Malliaris , S. Shelah

We expand the ergodic theory developed by Furstenberg and Hochman on dynamical systems that are obtained from magnifications of measures. We prove that any fractal distribution in the sense of Hochman is generated by a uniformly scaling…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Antti Käenmäki , Tuomas Sahlsten , Pablo Shmerkin

This paper is part of a program to understand the parameter spaces of dynamical systems generated by meromorphic functions with finitely many singular values. We give a full description of the parameter space for a specific family based on…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Tao Chen , Yunping Jiang , Linda Keen

We introduce a Grothendieck ring of higher Artin stacks generalizing the Grothendieck ring of algebraic varieties. We show that this ring is not trivial by noticing that it factors the invariant "number of rational points over a finite…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2009-11-18 B. Toen

We study the basis property of systems of exponentials with frequencies belonging to 'simple quasicrystals'. We show that a diophantine condition is necessary and sufficient for such a system to be a Riesz basis in L^2 on a finite union of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Gady Kozma , Nir Lev

It is shown that in a class of counterexamples to Elliott's conjecture by Matomaki, Radziwill and Tao, the Chowla conjecture holds along a subsequence.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Aleksander Gomilko , Mariusz Lemanczyk , Thierry de la Rue

We study properties of the Weyl pseudometric associated with an action of a countable amenable group on a compact metric space. We prove that the topological entropy and the number of minimal subsets of the closure of an orbit are both…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Martha Łącka , Marta Straszak

In this paper we prove that the monotonicity of kneading sequences and topological entropy, a fundamental structural property of the quadratic family, extends to the class of power-law unimodal maps $f_a(x)=a-|x|^r$ for arbitrary critical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Michael Benedicks , Ana Rodrigues

We establish necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence (in the sense of finite dimensional distributions) of multiplicative measures on the set of partitions. We show that this convergence is equivalent to asymptotic independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Boris L. Granovsky

We consider general Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) where the sufficient statistics are functions of homomorphism counts for a fixed collection of simple graphs $F_k$. Whereas previous work has shown a degeneracy phenomenon in dense…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

We study a generalized notion of a homogeneous skew-product extension of a probability-preserving system in which the homogeneous space fibres are allowed to vary over the ergodic decomposition of the base. The construction of such…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-11 Tim Austin

It is shown that there exist a subsequence for which the multiple ergodic averages of commuting invertible measure preserving transformations of a Lebesgue probability space converge almost everywhere provided that the maps are weakly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-28 E. H. El Abdalaoui

We study invariant sets and measures generated by iterated function systems defined on countable discrete spaces that are uniform grids of a finite dimension. The discrete spaces of this type can be considered as models of spaces in which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Tomasz Martyn

We determine the range of Furstenberg entropy for stationary ergodic actions of nonabelian free groups by an explicit construction involving random walks on random coset spaces.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Lewis Bowen

We present a class of multiplicative functions $f:\mathbb{N}\to\mathbb{C}$ with bounded partial sums. The novelty here is that our functions do not need to have modulus bounded by $1$. The key feature is that they pretend to be the constant…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Marco Aymone