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Measuring stochastic signals ("noise metrology") constitutes a central task in quantum sensing and the characterization of open quantum systems. Here we establish ultimate precision bounds for multiparameter estimation of stochastic signals…
Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…
We present a novel and simple method to numerically calculate Fisher Information Matrices for stochastic chemical kinetics models. The linear noise approximation is used to derive model equations and a likelihood function which leads to an…
In this paper, we present a methodology to estimate the parameters of stochastically contaminated models under two contamination regimes. In both regimes, we assume that the original process is a variable length Markov chain that is…
We present the conditions under which the time-optimal control problem for a nonlinear non-autonomous linearizable system can be solved by the method of successive approximations, at each step of which a power Markov moment min-problem is…
We investigate the relationship between system identification and intervention design in dynamical systems. While previous research demonstrated how identifiable representation learning methods, such as Independent Component Analysis (ICA),…
Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…
Understanding how to characterise and mitigate errors is a key challenge in developing reliable quantum architecture for near-term applications. Recent work (arXiv:2103.17243) provides an efficient set of algorithms for analysing unknown…
Ensuring stability of discrete-time (DT) linear parameter-varying (LPV) input-output (IO) models estimated via system identification methods is a challenging problem as known stability constraints can only be numerically verified, e.g.,…
We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…
This paper presents uniform-in-time finite-sample bounds for regularized linear regression with vector-valued outputs and conditionally zero-mean subgaussian noise. By revisiting classical self-normalized martingale arguments, we obtain…
We consider approximating solutions to parameterized linear systems of the form $A(\mu_1,\mu_2) x(\mu_1,\mu_2) = b$. Here the matrix $A(\mu_1,\mu_2) \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$ is nonsingular, large, and sparse and depends nonlinearly on…
Estimating and detecting faults is crucial in ensuring safe and efficient automated systems. In the presence of disturbances, noise or varying system dynamics, such estimation is even more challenging. To address this challenge, this…
In this paper we consider the problem of obtaining sharp bounds for the performance of temporal difference (TD) methods with linear function approximation for policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes. We show that a simple…
We study the problem of solving fixed-point equations for seminorm-contractive operators and establish foundational results on the non-asymptotic behavior of iterative algorithms in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Specifically,…
Accurate determination of the regularization parameter in inverse problems still represents an analytical challenge, owing mainly to the considerable difficulty to separate the unknown noise from the signal. We present a new approach for…
Motivated by applications in reinforcement learning (RL), we study a nonlinear stochastic approximation (SA) algorithm under Markovian noise, and establish its finite-sample convergence bounds under various stepsizes. Specifically, we show…
In this paper, we study the remote estimation problem of a Markov process over a channel with a cost. We formulate this problem as an infinite horizon optimization problem with two players, i.e., a sensor and a monitor, that have distinct…
In this paper, we propose an approach to address the problems with ambiguity in tuning the process and observation noises for a discrete-time linear Kalman filter. Conventional approaches to tuning (e.g. using normalized estimation error…
Time Optimal Path Parametrization is the problem of minimizing the time interval during which an actuation constrained agent can traverse a given path. Recently, an efficient linear-time algorithm for solving this problem was proposed.…