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This paper uses the development of multi-agent market models to present a unified approach to the joint questions of how financial market movements may be simulated, predicted, and hedged against. We examine the effect of different market…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

The objectives of option hedging/trading extend beyond mere protection against downside risks, with a desire to seek gains also driving agent's strategies. In this study, we showcase the potential of robust risk-aware reinforcement learning…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 David Wu , Sebastian Jaimungal

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

The principal portfolios of the standard Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) are analyzed and found to have remarkable hedging and leveraging properties. Principal portfolios implement a recasting of any correlated asset set of N risky…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-21 M. Hossein Partovi

Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Discrete time hedging in a complete diffusion market is considered. The hedge portfolio is rebalanced when the absolute difference between delta of the hedge portfolio and the derivative contract reaches a threshold level. The rate of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Mats Brodén , Magnus Wiktorsson

A critical problem in the financial world deals with the management of risk, from regulatory risk to portfolio risk. Many such problems involve the analysis of securities modelled by complex dynamics that cannot be captured analytically,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-03 Jeong Yu Han , Bin Cheng , Dinh-Long Vu , Patrick Rebentrost

Recently equal risk pricing, a framework for fair derivative pricing, was extended to consider dynamic risk measures. However, all current implementations either employ a static risk measure that violates time consistency, or are based on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-10 Saeed Marzban , Erick Delage , Jonathan Yumeng Li

Minimizing volatility and adjustment costs is of central importance in many economic environments, yet it is often complicated by evolving feasibility constraints. We study a decision maker who repeatedly selects an action from a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Simon Jantschgi , Heinrich H. Nax , Bary S. R. Pradelski , Marek Pycia

The article's aim is to provide a solution to the equity premium puzzle with a derived model. The derived model which depends on Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model gives a solution to the puzzle with the values of coefficient of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Atilla Aras

The recent work of Horikawa and Nakagawa (2024) claims that under a complete market admitting statistical arbitrage, the difference between the hedging position provided by deep hedging and that of the replicating portfolio is a statistical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pascal François , Geneviève Gauthier , Frédéric Godin , Carlos Octavio Pérez Mendoza

We amend and extend the Chiarella model of financial markets to deal with arbitrary long-term value drifts in a consistent way. This allows us to improve upon existing calibration schemes, opening the possibility of calibrating individual…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-11 Jutta G. Kurth , Adam A. Majewski , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In nature and human societies, the effects of homogeneous and heterogeneous characteristics on the evolution of collective behaviors are quite different from each other. It is of great importance to understand the underlying mechanisms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Fei Ren , Tian Qiu , Rong-Da Chen , Yun-Xin He , Li-Xin Zhong

The duality between the robust (or equivalently, model independent) hedging of path dependent European options and a martingale optimal transport problem is proved. The financial market is modeled through a risky asset whose price is only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-19 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

The existing literature on optimal auctions focuses on optimizing the expected revenue of the seller, and is appropriate for risk-neutral sellers. In this paper, we identify good mechanisms for risk-averse sellers. As is standard in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-04-02 Mukund Sundararajan , Qiqi Yan

This paper investigates the hedging performance of pegged foreign exchange market in a regime switching (RS) model introduced in a recent paper by Drapeau, Wang and Wang (2019). We compare two prices, an exact solution and first order…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Samuel Drapeau , Yunbo Zhang

The purpose of this paper is introducing rigorous methods and formulas for bilateral counterparty risk credit valuation adjustments (CVA's) on interest-rate portfolios. In doing so, we summarize the general arbitrage-free valuation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-03 Damiano Brigo , Andrea Pallavicini , Vasileios Papatheodorou

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

This study employs expected certainty equivalents to explore the reinsurance and investment issue pertaining to an insurer that aims to maximize the expected utility while being subject to random risk aversion. The insurer's surplus process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Jian-hao Kang , Zhun Gou , Nan-jing Huang