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Related papers: Explicit correlations for the Hawkes processes

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Animal acoustic communication often exhibits temporal dependence, with calls triggering or suppressing subsequent calls within and across call types, individuals, or species. While Hawkes processes provide a natural framework for modeling…

Hawkes processes are point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties that are popular in applications. In recent years, renewal Hawkes processes have gained attention, due to their versatility such as the capability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Lirong Cui , Yongji Zhang , Lingjiong Zhu

Classic results show that the Hawkes self-exciting point process can be viewed as a collection of temporal clusters, where exogenously generated initial events give rise to endogenously driven descendant events. This perspective provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Andrew Daw

We develop a quasi-likelihood analysis procedure for a general class of multivariate marked point processes. As a by-product of the general method, we establish under stability and ergodicity conditions the local asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Simon Clinet

The intensity of a Gibbs point process is usually an intractable function of the model parameters. For repulsive pairwise interaction point processes, this intensity can be expressed as the Laplace transform of some particular function.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-11 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad

We introduce a Markovian single point process model, with random intensity regulated through a buffer mechanism and a self-exciting effect controlling the arrival stream to the buffer. The model applies the principle of the Hawkes process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Ingemar Kaj , Mine Caglar

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

In this paper, we present a nonparametric estimation procedure for the multivariate Hawkes point process. The timeline is cut into bins and -- for each component process -- the number of points in each bin is counted. The distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthias Kirchner

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process with constraints on its conditional density. It is a multivariate point process with conditional intensity similar to that of a multivariate Hawkes process but certain events are forbidden with…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-14 Ban Zheng , François Roueff , Frédéric Abergel

We provide a Poisson approximation result for dependent thinnings of Gibbs point processes as well as qualitative and quantitative central limit theorems for geometric functionals of Gibbs point processes in increasing observation windows.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Christian Hirsch , Moritz Otto , Anne Marie Svane

In this paper, we study a discrete-time analogue of a Hawkes process, modelled as a Poisson autoregressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. The model is characterized to allow these parameters to take negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

We introduce the Hyperedge-triggered Hawkes (HTH) process for inferring higher-order interaction structure in multi-cellular systems from asynchronous event-time data. Beyond standard pairwise excitation, the HTH intensity includes a term…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Zihan Xu

In this paper we develop a Malliavin-Skorohod type calculus for additive processes in the $L^0$ and $L^1$ settings, extending the probabilistic interpretation of the Malliavin-Skorohod operators to this context. We prove calculus rules and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Giulia Di Nunno , Josep Vives

We propose a novel class of network models for temporal dyadic interaction data. Our goal is to capture a number of important features often observed in social interactions: sparsity, degree heterogeneity, community structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron , Yee Whye Teh

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

In the present work, we introduce a general class of mean-field interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modelling the reciprocal interactions between two neuronal populations, one excitatory and one inhibitory. The model incorporates two…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon , Christophe Pouzat

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson
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