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We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

Distributionally Robust Optimal Control (DROC) is a framework that enables robust control in a stochastic setting where the true disturbance distribution is unknown. Traditional DROC approaches require given ambiguity sets and KL divergence…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Rui Liu , Guangyao Shi , Pratap Tokekar

We propose an open loop methodology based on sample statistics to solve chance constrained stochastic optimal control problems with probabilistic safety guarantees for linear systems where the additive Gaussian noise has unknown mean and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We derive distributional limits for empirical transport distances between probability measures supported on countable sets. Our approach is based on sensitivity analysis of optimal values of infinite dimensional mathematical programs and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Carla Tameling , Max Sommerfeld , Axel Munk

In many human-in-the-loop robotic applications such as robot-assisted surgery and remote teleoperation, predicting the intended motion of the human operator may be useful for successful implementation of shared control, guidance virtual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Arun Kumar Singh , Sigal Berman , Ilana Nisky

Safely deploying robots in uncertain and dynamic environments requires a systematic accounting of various risks, both within and across layers in an autonomy stack from perception to motion planning and control. Many widely used motion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-10 Venkatraman Renganathan , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

Uncertainty plays a key role in future prediction. The future is uncertain. That means there might be many possible futures. A future prediction method should cover the whole possibilities to be robust. In autonomous driving, covering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Adil Kaan Akan

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

This paper proposes an algorithm capable of driving a system to follow a piecewise linear trajectory without prior knowledge of the system dynamics. Motivated by a critical failure scenario in which a system can experience an abrupt change…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Taha Shafa , Yiming Meng , Melkior Ornik

Distributional ambiguity sets provide quantifiable ways to characterize the uncertainty about the true probability distribution of random variables of interest. This makes them a key element in data-driven robust optimization by exploiting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

In this paper, we study the longitudinal control problem for a platoon of vehicles with unknown nonlinear dynamics under both the predecessor-following and the bidirectional control architectures. The proposed control protocols are fully…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Christos K. Verginis , Charalampos P. Bechlioulis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Kostas J. Kyriakopoulos

We present the design and development of a data stream system that captures data uncertainty from data collection to query processing to final result generation. Our system focuses on data that is naturally modeled as continuous random…

Databases · Computer Science 2009-09-15 Yanlei Diao , Boduo Li , Anna Liu , Liping Peng , Charles Sutton , Thanh Tran , Michael Zink

This paper formulates a variational approach for treating observational uncertainty and/or computational model errors as stochastic transport in dynamical systems governed by action principles under nonholonomic constraints. For this…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Darryl D Holm , Vakhtang Putkaradze

This article proposes an improved trajectory optimization approach for stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems affected by measurement noise by combining optimal control with maximum likelihood techniques to improve the reduction of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Prakash Mallick , Zhiyong Chen

Out-of-distribution (OOD) data poses serious challenges in deployed machine learning models as even subtle changes could incur significant performance drops. Being able to estimate a model's performance on test data is important in practice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Yuzhe Lu , Zhenlin Wang , Runtian Zhai , Soheil Kolouri , Joseph Campbell , Katia Sycara

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

Motivated by developments in renewable energy and smart grids, we formulate a stylized mathematical model of a transport network with stochastic load fluctuations. Using an affine control rule, we explore the trade-off between the number of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart