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This paper addresses the limitations of standard uncertainty models, e.g., robust (norm-bounded) and stochastic (one fixed distribution, e.g., Gaussian), and proposes to model uncertainty via Optimal Transport (OT) ambiguity sets. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Liviu Aolaritei , Nicolas Lanzetti , Hongruyu Chen , Florian Dörfler

Precise control under uncertainty requires a good understanding and characterization of the noise affecting the system. This paper studies the problem of steering state distributions of dynamical systems subject to partially known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

This paper studies optimal control problems of unknown linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances of uncertain distribution. Uncertainty about the stochastic disturbances is usually described via ambiguity sets of probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-30 Guanru Pan , Timm Faulwasser

In this article, we consider transport networks with uncertain demands. Network dynamics are given by linear hyperbolic partial differential equations and suitable coupling conditions, while demands are incorporated as solutions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

Distributionally robust optimization tackles out-of-sample issues like overfitting and distribution shifts by adopting an adversarial approach over a range of possible data distributions, known as the ambiguity set. To balance conservatism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Ahmad-Reza Ehyaei , Golnoosh Farnadi , Samira Samadi

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

With the increasing penetration of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) and their impact on power system stability and operation, the concept of stability-constrained optimization has drawn significant attention from researchers. In order to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Zhongda Chu , Fei Teng

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-15 Hany Abdulsamad , Tim Dorau , Boris Belousov , Jia-Jie Zhu , Jan Peters

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

Motivated by the applications, a class of optimal control problems is investigated, where the goal is to influence the behavior of a given population through another controlled one interacting with the first. Diffusive terms accounting for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Stefano Almi , Marco Morandotti , Francesco Solombrino

We introduce a framework for the control of discrete-time switched stochastic systems with uncertain distributions. In particular, we consider stochastic dynamics with additive noise whose distribution lies in an ambiguity set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo

We consider the problem of data-driven stochastic optimal control of an unknown LTI dynamical system. Assuming the process noise is normally distributed, we pose the problem of steering the state's mean and covariance to a target normal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales
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