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Dropout as regularization has been used extensively to prevent overfitting for training neural networks. During training, units and their connections are randomly dropped, which could be considered as sampling many different submodels from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Zhaoyuan Yang , Arpit Jain

Characterizing uncertainty is a common issue in nuclear measurement and has important implications for reliable physical discovery. Traditional methods are either insufficient to cope with the heterogeneous nature of uncertainty or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-01 Pengcheng Ai , Zhi Deng , Yi Wang , Chendi Shen

Monte Carlo integration is a commonly used technique to compute intractable integrals and is typically thought to perform poorly for very high-dimensional integrals. To show that this is not always the case, we examine Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Yanbo Tang

Several neurodegenerative diseases involve the accumulation of cellular DNA damage. Comet assays are a popular way of estimating the extent of DNA damage. Current literature on the use of deep learning to quantify DNA damage presents an…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-28 Srikanth Namuduri , Prateek Mehta , Lise Barbe , Stephanie Lam , Zohreh Faghihmonzavi , Steve Finkbeiner , Shekhar Bhansali

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network surrogate sampling method for the uncertainty quantification of physical/biological systems described by ordinary or partial differential equations. We first generate a set of low/high-fidelity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Mohammad Motamed

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

We introduce ProPanDL, a family of networks capable of uncertainty-aware panoptic segmentation. Unlike existing segmentation methods, ProPanDL is capable of estimating full probability distributions for both the semantic and spatial aspects…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Jacob Deery , Chang Won Lee , Steven Waslander

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Dropout Variational Inference, or Dropout Sampling, has been recently proposed as an approximation technique for Bayesian Deep Learning and evaluated for image classification and regression tasks. This paper investigates the utility of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Dimity Miller , Lachlan Nicholson , Feras Dayoub , Niko Sünderhauf

Accurate proton dose calculation using Monte Carlo (MC) is computationally demanding in workflows like robust optimisation, adaptive replanning, and probabilistic inference, which require repeated evaluations. To address this, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Aaron Pim , Tristan Pryer

This work introduces an efficient novel approach for epistemic uncertainty estimation for ensemble models for regression tasks using pairwise-distance estimators (PaiDEs). Utilizing the pairwise-distance between model components, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Lucas Berry , David Meger

The re-emergence of mosquito-borne diseases (MBDs), which kill hundreds of thousands of people each year, has been attributed to increased human population, migration, and environmental changes. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Gereziher Adhane , Mohammad Mahdi Dehshibi , David Masip

Each year a growing number of wind farms are being added to power grids to generate electricity. The power curve of a wind turbine, which exhibits the relationship between generated power and wind speed, plays a major role in assessing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Farzad Karami , Nasser Kehtarnavaz , Mario Rotea

In robust optimisation problems the objective function consists of an average over (an ensemble of) uncertain parameters. Ensemble optimisation (EnOpt) implements steepest descent by estimating the gradient using linear regression on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Patrick N. Raanes , Andreas S. Stordal , Rolf J. Lorentzen

In this paper, we approach the problem of uncertainty quantification in deep learning through a predictive framework, which captures uncertainty in model parameters by specifying our assumptions about the predictive distribution of unseen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Luhuan Wu , Sinead Williamson

Whereas the ability of deep networks to produce useful predictions has been amply demonstrated, estimating the reliability of these predictions remains challenging. Sampling approaches such as MC-Dropout and Deep Ensembles have emerged as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Nikita Durasov , Nik Dorndorf , Hieu Le , Pascal Fua

Conventional photoacoustic imaging may suffer from the limited view and bandwidth of ultrasound transducers. A deep learning approach is proposed to handle these problems and is demonstrated both in simulations and in experiments on a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-19 Guillaume Godefroy , Bastien Arnal , Emmanuel Bossy

With the rise of the popularity and usage of neural networks, trustworthy uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly essential. One of the most prominent uncertainty estimation methods is Deep Ensembles (Lakshminarayanan et al., 2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

This paper considers the problem of optimizing the average tracking error for an elliptic partial differential equation with an uncertain lognormal diffusion coefficient. In particular, the application of the multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Philipp A. Guth , Andreas Van Barel

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea
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