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The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Eduardo G. Altmann , Holger Kantz

Coefficient inverse problems related to identifying the right-hand side of an equation with use of additional information is of interest among inverse problems for partial differential equations. When considering non-stationary problems,…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Petr N. Vabishchevich

The irreversibility in a statistical system is traced to its probabilistic evolution, and the molecular chaos assumption is not its unique consequence as is commonly believed. Under the assumption that the rate of change of the each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-10 P. D. Gujrati

We address the problem of incremental sequence classification, where predictions are updated as new elements in the sequence are revealed. Drawing on temporal-difference learning from reinforcement learning, we identify a…

A binary renewal process is a stochastic process $\{X_n\}$ taking values in $\{0,1\}$ where the lengths of the runs of 1's between successive zeros are independent. After observing ${X_0,X_1,...,X_n}$ one would like to predict the future…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Gusztáv Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Moritz Deger , Moritz Helias , Stefano Cardanobile , Fatihcan M. Atay , Stefan Rotter

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

This work focuses on recurrence and ergodicity of switching diffusions consisting of continuous and discrete components, in which the discrete component takes values in a countably infinite set and the rates of switching at current time…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

The large time behaviour of nonnegative solutions to a quasilinear degenerate diffusion equation with a source term depending solely on the gradient is investigated. After a suitable rescaling of time, convergence to a unique profile is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-02-29 Philippe Laurencot , Christian Stinner

We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Various verification techniques for temporal properties transform temporal verification to safety verification. For infinite-state systems, these transformations are inherently imprecise. That is, for some instances, the temporal property…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Oded Padon , Jochen Hoenicke , Kenneth L. McMillan , Andreas Podelski , Mooly Sagiv , Sharon Shoham

We present a unified framework ensuring well posedness and providing stability estimates to a class of Initial Boundary Value Problems for renewal equations comprising a variety of biological or epidemiological models. This versatility is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello , Francesca Marcellini , Elena Rossi

For a class of linear switched systems in continuous time a controllability condition implies that state feedbacks allow to achieve almost sure stabilization with arbitrary exponential decay rates. This is based on the Multiplicative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Fritz Colonius , Guilherme Mazanti

Nearly linear recurrences are a generalisation of linear recurrences and are instances of linear time-invariant systems in control theory and linear constraint loops in program analysis. In this paper we formulate the Positivity Problem for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Amaury Pouly , Mahsa Shirmohammadi , James Worrell

The time elapsed model describes the firing activity of an homogeneous assembly of neurons thanks to the distribution of times elapsed since the last discharge. It gives a mathematical description of the probability density of neurons…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Khashayar Pakdaman , Benoît Perthame , Delphine Salort

Algorithms for computing equilibria, optima, and fixed points in nonconvex problems often depend sensitively on practitioner-chosen initial conditions. When uniqueness of a solution is of interest, a common heuristic is to run such…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-17 Moeen Nehzati , Diego Cussen

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

We derive rigorously the short-time escape probability of a quantum particle from its compactly supported initial state, which has a discontinuous derivative at the boundary of the support. We show that this probability is liner in time,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-14 Avi Marchewka , Zeev Schuss

Multivariate time series analysis is extensively used in neurophysiology with the aim of studying the relationship between simultaneously recorded signals. Recently, advances on information theory and nonlinear dynamical systems theory have…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ernesto Pereda , Rodrigo Quian Quiroga , Joydeep Bhattacharya

Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz