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Accurately predicting line loss rates is vital for effective line loss management in distribution networks, especially over short-term multi-horizons ranging from one hour to one week. In this study, we propose Attention-GCN-LSTM, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Jie Liu , Yijia Cao , Yong Li , Yixiu Guo , Wei Deng

Diffusion models have shown promise in forecasting future data from multivariate time series. However, few existing methods account for recurring structures, or patterns, that appear within the data. We present Pattern-Guided Diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Vivian Lin , Kuk Jin Jang , Wenwen Si , Insup Lee

Financial time series forecasting in zero-shot settings is critical for investment decisions, especially during abrupt market regime shifts or in emerging markets with limited historical data. While Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Anxian Liu , Junying Ma , Guang Zhang

Concept drift is formally defined as the change in joint distribution of a set of input variables X and a target variable y. The two types of drift that are extensively studied are real drift and virtual drift where the former is the change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Chang How Tan , Vincent CS Lee , Mahsa Salehi

Concept drift refers to a non stationary learning problem over time. The training and the application data often mismatch in real life problems. In this report we present a context of concept drift problem 1. We focus on the issues relevant…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-10-25 Indrė Žliobaitė

Systematic biases in General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs limit their direct applicability in regional planning, making bias correction a technically demanding but necessary step for both short-term and long-term impact assessment.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Kamlesh Sawadekar , Seth McGinnis , Peijun Li , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Recently, continual learning has received a lot of attention. One of the significant problems is the occurrence of \emph{concept drift}, which consists of changing probabilistic characteristics of the incoming data. In the case of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Sebastián Basterrech , Michal Woźniak

World models that forecast scene evolution by generating future video frames devote the bulk of their capacity to photometric details, yet the resulting predictions often remain geometrically inconsistent. We present VGGT-World, a geometry…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Xiangyu Sun , Shijie Wang , Fengyi Zhang , Lin Liu , Caiyan Jia , Ziying Song , Zi Huang , Yadan Luo

Predictive models often degrade in performance due to evolving data distributions, a phenomenon known as data drift. Among its forms, concept drift, where the relationship between explanatory variables and the response variable changes, is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Ugur Dar , Mustafa Cavus

This study evaluates three probabilistic forecasting strategies using LightGBM: global pooling, cluster-level pooling, and station-level modeling across a range of scenarios, from fully homogeneous simulated data to highly heterogeneous…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Jiahe Ling , Wei Biao Wu

We propose Expert Monitoring, an approach that leverages domain expertise to enhance the detection and mitigation of concept drift in machine learning (ML) models. Our approach supports practitioners by consolidating domain expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Joran Leest , Claudia Raibulet , Ilias Gerostathopoulos , Patricia Lago

Data stream poses additional challenges to statistical classification tasks because distributions of the training and target samples may differ as time passes. Such distribution change in streaming data is called concept drift. Numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Anjin Liu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

World models paired with model predictive control (MPC) can be trained offline on large-scale datasets of expert trajectories and enable generalization to a wide range of planning tasks at inference time. Compared to traditional MPC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Arjun Parthasarathy , Nimit Kalra , Rohun Agrawal , Yann LeCun , Oumayma Bounou , Pavel Izmailov , Micah Goldblum

The accelerating adoption of language models (LMs) as agents for deployment in long-context tasks motivates a thorough understanding of goal drift: agents' tendency to deviate from an original objective. While prior-generation language…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Achyutha Menon , Magnus Saebo , Tyler Crosse , Spencer Gibson , Eyon Jang , Diogo Cruz

We study the problem of learning in the presence of a drifting target concept. Specifically, we provide bounds on the error rate at a given time, given a learner with access to a history of independent samples labeled according to a target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Steve Hanneke , Varun Kanade , Liu Yang

Machine learning models are increasingly deployed in wireless networks with stringent performance requirements. However, dynamic propagation environments and fluctuating traffic densities introduce concept drift, which complicates the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Oscar Stenhammar , Gábor Fodor , Carlo Fischione

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

Flight delays impose challenges that impact any flight transportation system. Predicting when they are going to occur is an important way to mitigate this issue. However, the behavior of the flight delay system varies through time. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Lucas Giusti , Leonardo Carvalho , Antonio Tadeu Gomes , Rafaelli Coutinho , Jorge Soares , Eduardo Ogasawara

Data stream mining problem has caused widely concerns in the area of machine learning and data mining. In some recent studies, ensemble classification has been widely used in concept drift detection, however, most of them regard…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-14 Junhong Wang , Shuliang Xu , Bingqian Duan , Caifeng Liu , Jiye Liang

One important assumption underlying common classification models is the stationarity of the data. However, in real-world streaming applications, the data concept indicated by the joint distribution of feature and label is not stationary but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-10 Shujian Yu , Xiaoyang Wang , Jose C. Principe
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