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Distribution Regression (DR) on stochastic processes describes the learning task of regression on collections of time series. Path signatures, a technique prevalent in stochastic analysis, have been used to solve the DR problem. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Andrew Alden , Carmine Ventre , Blanka Horvath

We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process $X$. We consider classic and randomized stopping times represented by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Christian Bayer , Paul Hager , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

Distribution regression refers to the supervised learning problem where labels are only available for groups of inputs instead of individual inputs. In this paper, we develop a rigorous mathematical framework for distribution regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Maud Lemercier , Cristopher Salvi , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terry Lyons

We focus on the distribution regression problem: regressing to vector-valued outputs from probability measures. Many important machine learning and statistical tasks fit into this framework, including multi-instance learning and point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Zoltan Szabo , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Barnabas Poczos , Arthur Gretton

This paper presents the benefits of using randomized neural networks instead of standard basis functions or deep neural networks to approximate the solutions of optimal stopping problems. The key idea is to use neural networks, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Pierre Ruyssen , Josef Teichmann

The strategy of early stopping is a regularization technique based on choosing a stopping time for an iterative algorithm. Focusing on non-parametric regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we analyze the early stopping strategy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-18 Garvesh Raskutti , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

In this note we propose a new approach towards solving numerically optimal stopping problems via reinforced regression based Monte Carlo algorithms. The main idea of the method is to reinforce standard linear regression algorithms in each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny , Bakhyt Zharkynbay

Solving optimal stopping problems by backward induction in high dimensions is often very complex since the computation of conditional expectations is required. Typically, such computations are based on regression, a method that suffers from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Martin Redmann

This paper is concerned with functional learning by utilizing two-stage sampled distribution regression. We study a multi-penalty regularization algorithm for distribution regression under the framework of learning theory. The algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Zhan Yu , Daniel W. C. Ho

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

In this paper, we propose deep learning algorithms for ranking response surfaces, with applications to optimal stopping problems in financial mathematics. The problem of ranking response surfaces is motivated by estimating optimal feedback…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Ruimeng Hu

Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

The problem of learning functions over spaces of probabilities - or distribution regression - is gaining significant interest in the machine learning community. A key challenge behind this problem is to identify a suitable representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Dimitri Meunier , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

Optimal stopping is the problem of determining when to stop a stochastic system in order to maximize reward, which is of practical importance in domains such as finance, operations management and healthcare. Existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Xinyi Guan , Velibor V. Mišić

In this work, we study the deep signature algorithms for path-dependent options. We extend the backward scheme in [Hur\'e-Pham-Warin. Mathematics of Computation 89, no. 324 (2020)] for state-dependent FBSDEs with reflections to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Erhan Bayraktar , Qi Feng , Zhaoyu Zhang

In this paper we study simulation based optimization algorithms for solving discrete time optimal stopping problems. This type of algorithms became popular among practioneers working in the area of quantitative finance. Using large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-09-22 Denis Belomestny

This paper presents a novel deep learning framework for solving multiple optimal stopping problems in high dimensions. While deep learning has recently shown promise for single stopping problems, the multiple exercise case involves complex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Mathieu Laurière , Mehdi Talbi

We focus on the distribution regression problem: regressing to a real-valued response from a probability distribution. Although there exist a large number of similarity measures between distributions, very little is known about their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-28 Zoltan Szabo , Arthur Gretton , Barnabas Poczos , Bharath Sriperumbudur

Sparse reduced rank regression is an essential statistical learning method. In the contemporary literature, estimation is typically formulated as a nonconvex optimization that often yields to a local optimum in numerical computation. Yet,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Canhong Wen , Ruipeng Dong , Xueqin Wang , Weiyu Li , Heping Zhang

We investigate the feature compression of high-dimensional ridge regression using the optimal subsampling technique. Specifically, based on the basic framework of random sampling algorithm on feature for ridge regression and the A-optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-19 Hanyu Li , Chengmei Niu
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