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Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We prove a large deviation principle for the greedy exploration of configuration models, building on a time-discretized version of the method proposed by Bermolen et al. and Brightwell et al. for jointly constructing a random graph from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Paola Bermolen , Valeria Goicoechea , Matthieu Jonckheere

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

The Glivenko--Cantelli theorem is a uniform version of the strong law of large numbers. It states that for every IID sequence of random variables, the empirical measure converges to the underlying distribution (in the sense of uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Tobias Fritz , Tomáš Gonda , Antonio Lorenzin , Paolo Perrone , Areeb Shah Mohammed

\noindent Consider an infinite collection of particles on the real line moving according to independent Brownian motions and such that the $i$-th particle from the left gets the drift $g_{i-1}$. The case where $g_0=1$ and $g_{i}=0$ for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja

This study develops a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation theory for distributions of M-estimators, which are defined as maximizers of empirical criterion functions. In existing mathematical statistics literature, numerous studies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Masaaki Imaizumi , Taisuke Otsu

In this paper, we show that the empirical measure of mean-field model satisfies the large deviation principle with respect to the weak convergence topology or the stronger Wasserstein metric, under the strong exponential integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Wei Liu , Liming Wu

Many natural Markov chains fail to mix to their stationary distribution in polynomially many steps. Often, this slow mixing is inevitable since it is computationally intractable to sample from their stationary measure. Nevertheless, Markov…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Kuikui Liu , Sidhanth Mohanty , Prasad Raghavendra , Amit Rajaraman , David X. Wu

We establish large deviation principles (LDPs) for empirical measures associated with a sequence of Gibbs distributions on $n$-particle configurations, each of which is defined in terms of an inverse temperature $% \beta_n$ and an energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Paul Dupuis , Vaios Laschos , Kavita Ramanan

We study in this paper the large-time asymptotics of the empirical vector associated with a family of finite-state mean-field systems with multi-classes. The empirical vector is composed of local empirical measures characterizing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Donald A. Dawson , Ahmed Sid-Ali , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

In this work we introduce new approximate similarity relations that are shown to be key for policy (or control) synthesis over general Markov decision processes. The models of interest are discrete-time Markov decision processes, endowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-01 S. Haesaert , S. Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , A. Abate

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We consider discrete time Markov chains with Polish state space. The large deviations principle for empirical measures of a Markov chain can equivalently be stated in Laplace principle form, which builds on the convex dual pair of relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Stephan Eckstein

The tuning of stochastic gradient algorithms (SGAs) for optimization and sampling is often based on heuristics and trial-and-error rather than generalizable theory. We address this theory--practice gap by characterizing the large-sample…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-21 Jeffrey Negrea , Jun Yang , Haoyue Feng , Daniel M. Roy , Jonathan H. Huggins

We consider the Fluctuation Dissipation Theorem (FDT) of statistical physics from a mathematical perspective. We formalize the concept of "linear response function" in the general framework of Markov processes. We show that for processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-17 Amir Dembo , Jean-Dominique Deuschel

We establish a large deviation theorem for the empirical spectral distribution of random covariance matrices whose entries are independent random variables with mean 0, variance 1 and having controlled forth moments. Some new properties of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Tien-Cuong Dinh , Duc-Viet Vu

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli

A large deviation principle is established for a two-scale stochastic system in which the slow component is a continuous process given by a small noise finite dimensional It\^{o} stochastic differential equation, and the fast component is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

We consider a system of $N$ particles whose interactions are characterized by a (weighted) graph $G^N$. Each particle is a node of the graph with an internal state. The state changes according to Markovian dynamics that depend on the states…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast

Macroscopic fluctuation theory has shown that a wide class of non-equilibrium stochastic dynamical systems obey a large deviation principle, but except for a few one-dimensional examples these large deviation principles are in general not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-02 Gino Del Ferraro , Erik Aurell
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